Minnesota vs Houston: 3rd Quarter Winner
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Minnesota vs Houston: 3rd Quarter Winner
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Houston at 54%.
Kalshi
- Houston54%
- Minnesota29.5%
- Tie5.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
MIN vs HOU (Nov 4) If X wins the 3rd quarter of the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 3rd quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event asks which team will win the third quarter of the Minnesota vs Houston game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 [1]. Each market resolves to Yes if the named outcome occurs. The source states: "Only points scored during the 3rd quarter of play count towards this market." [1] Three markets are listed: Houston wins the 3rd quarter, Minnesota wins the 3rd quarter, and a 3rd quarter tie [1]. Because only third-quarter points count, these rules differ from a full-game winner contract.
All three markets show a listed end date of 2026-11-07T01:30:00Z [1]. The event's listed end time is recorded as "not supplied" [1], so this date is a contract field. It is not an announced game time, a quarter end time, or a settlement time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-03T21:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-04T05:46:38Z [1]. These are past records, not live quotes. At observation, the Yes prices were 0.60 for Houston, 0.325 for Minnesota, and 0.095 for the tie [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The three Yes prices sum to 1.02 in this snapshot, so each should be read as a separate quoted price rather than part of a normalized distribution.
The coverage record lists three of three markets for this event and marks the sample as not partial [1]. The sample warning adds: "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome." [1] Nothing should be inferred about outcomes that are not listed. The supplied evidence also does not provide volume or trader counts, so these prices cannot be read as a measure of liquidity or agreement.
Only one platform appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Any differences in wording or end times between platforms cannot be assessed from this record.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices were at these levels, and it contains no recent news about the game or the teams. It does not show current prices, the actual third-quarter result, or when the market settled. The listed end time for the event is not supplied [1]. Readers should check the provider's current contract page for live status and any settlement information before relying on this comparison.
References
- Kalshi: Minnesota vs Houston: 3rd Quarter Winner. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 4, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Minnesota vs Houston: 3rd Quarter Winner," which concerns a Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for November 4, 2026, between Minnesota and Houston [1]. The contract is built around a single period of play. Under the event rules, if a named team wins the third quarter, the related market resolves to Yes [1]. The rules also state that only points scored during the third quarter count toward the market [1]. The event includes three separate markets. One asks whether Houston wins the third quarter, one asks whether Minnesota wins the third quarter, and one covers a third-quarter tie [1]. Each market has its own Yes and No prices. The saved snapshot, observed on November 3, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, showed Houston's Yes contract at 0.6, Minnesota's Yes contract at 0.325, and the tie contract at 0.095 [1]. These figures describe prices at that observation time. They are not current prices, executable quotes, or verified probabilities. The event record shows a provider status of active and says the listed end time was not supplied [1]. The market records carry an end date of November 7, 2026 at 01:30 UTC [1]. That date appears in the contract data and is not evidence of when the game is played or when the result will be announced. The event rules say the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow scoring outcome: which team outscores the other in the third quarter, or whether the two teams tie for that quarter [1]. Because the rules restrict resolution to third-quarter points, a team's result over the full game does not decide these markets [1]. This makes the contracts useful for reading how the platform prices a specific segment of a single game, rather than the final result. The snapshot prices show how the three outcomes were priced at one moment, and they do not indicate what the prices will be when the quarter is played [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-03 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for the Yes outcome to resolve?
The market resolves to Yes if the named team wins the third quarter of the Minnesota vs Houston game [1].
Do points from other quarters count?
No. The rules state that only points scored during the third quarter count toward this market [1].
What does the tie market cover?
The event includes a separate market titled "3rd quarter tie" with its own Yes and No prices [1]. The saved snapshot listed its Yes price at 0.095 [1].
When does the market close?
The rules say the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The market records list an end date of November 7, 2026 at 01:30 UTC, but the event record says the listed end time was not supplied [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
