Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the Hyperliquid price over a 15-minute window, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET" [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if "the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A contract on a different venue, data feed, or pair would need its own rules and should not be compared directly with this one.
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T13:30:00.000Z [1]. This is the provider's listed close time for the contract. It is not the same as the actual resolution, which depends on the Chainlink data described above.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation is timestamped 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T19:47:11.584Z [1]. These are different times. The prices below describe the observation, not the moment you are reading this, and they may have changed since then.
At the observation, the quoted prices were "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The gap between them is 0.010 on the saved figures. Trading volume was not included in the supplied evidence, so this snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many traders were involved.
The sample covers one contract. The provider lists one market for this event, and the sample is not partial [1]. The saved data contains only this market, so there is no other outcome in this sample to compare against. The evidence also does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for the real-world question.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the quoted prices are where they are. It does not include any news, recent developments, or trader activity, and it provides no basis for forecasting the actual price path in the window. A contract with different wording, a different data source, or a different listed close time would not be directly comparable, even if its title looks similar.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of Hyperliquid, measured in HYPE/USD, will be higher or lower over a 15-minute window than it was at the start of that window. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is specific. The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, not any other exchange or spot market. The contract states that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1]. Because the outcome depends on a TWAP rather than a single trade, a brief move at the start or end of the window may affect the result differently than a simple comparison of two prices would. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T13:30:00Z [1]. That end time is the contract's closing point as listed by the provider. It is not evidence that the market has resolved, and the source excerpt does not report a resolution. The prices shown in this record are a snapshot taken at the observation time of 2026-10-26T18:00:06Z. At that point the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.505 and the "Down" outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are provider-reported snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average HYPE/USD price from Chainlink's data stream over a 9:15 to 9:30 AM ET window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. It is therefore a question about short-term price direction under a specific averaging method and data source. Traders and readers can use the contract's rules to see exactly what counts toward the result. The snapshot prices show how the market was priced at one earlier moment, but they do not show the outcome, the final trading activity, or the number of participants.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
The contract resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
What makes it resolve to Down?
If the time-weighted average price over the window is below the price at the beginning of the window, the contract resolves to Down [1].
Which price data determines the result?
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The contract says the market concerns that data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1].
What do the displayed prices mean?
At the observation time of 2026-10-26T18:00:06Z, the record shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T13:30:00Z, and the title describes the window as 9:15AM to 9:30AM ET on October 27 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.