Bodrum vs Bandirma: Spread
K 0 contracts
1
4
Bodrum vs Bandirma: Spread
K 0 contracts
1
4
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
BOD vs BAN (Oct 17) If Bodrum wins by more than X goals in the Bodrum vs Bandirma professional TFF 1. Lig soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event "Bodrum vs Bandirma: Spread" contains four yes/no markets on goal margins in a professional TFF 1. Lig soccer game. The source describes the game as "originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026" [1]. Each market asks whether one side wins by more than a stated number of goals. The markets are "Bodrum wins by more than 1.5 goals?", "Bandirma wins by more than 1.5 goals?", "Bandirma wins by more than 2.5 goals?", and "Bodrum wins by more than 2.5 goals?" [1].
Resolution uses the score "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. Readers should compare the wording of each market before comparing prices, because a margin threshold and a team name change what the contract pays on.
Each market lists the same end date, 2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z, but the source says the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1]. The listed end date is therefore a contract close time, not a confirmed match date or a resolution date. The excerpt also states "Listed end time: not supplied," so the event-level close time is unclear from this evidence.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T00:44:29.130Z [1]. They describe the saved snapshot only and are not current quotes for today. The Yes prices are 0.16 for Bodrum by more than 1.5 goals, 0.15 for Bandirma by more than 1.5 goals, 0.115 for Bandirma by more than 2.5 goals, and 0.045 for Bodrum by more than 2.5 goals [1]. Each price is a snapshot, not an executable quote or a verified probability.
The sample includes all four saved markets for this event, and the record marks it as not partial [1]. Even so, the source notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Lower prices on any market should not be read as evidence that an omitted outcome is less likely.
Because the markets use different thresholds and teams, the four prices should not be averaged, summed, or treated as one distribution. The record reports volume as a field in the market data, but volume does not indicate liquidity or the number of traders, so this snapshot cannot show how much depth sits behind any price.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices were at these levels, and it does not describe any news or team information. It also does not show whether the game has been played, postponed, or resolved. Only the supplied rules and the observed snapshot are available. Because the source shows only one provider, no cross-platform comparison is possible here.
References
- Kalshi: Bodrum vs Bandirma: Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Bodrum vs Bandirma: Spread" for a professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match between Bodrum and Bandirma that was originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The event groups spread-style contracts that ask whether one side will win by more than a set number of goals. The saved event includes four markets: Bodrum winning by more than 1.5 goals, Bandirma winning by more than 1.5 goals, Bandirma winning by more than 2.5 goals, and Bodrum winning by more than 2.5 goals [1]. The provider lists the event status as active [1]. The contract rules define the outcome window narrowly. The result is measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not included in the measurement, so a match decided only in those phases would not count toward the margin [1]. The rules also say the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The word "originally" in the rules signals that the match is tied to its original scheduled date, so the contract wording itself does not establish when or whether the match will be played. Each contract is a yes or no question. A Yes price near 0.16 for Bodrum winning by more than 1.5 goals, for example, reflects where that contract was trading in the saved snapshot, not a verified probability that the outcome will happen. Snapshot prices are not executable quotes and should not be read as the current market.
Why It Matters
The contracts measure the goal margin of one team's victory over the other in a single match, under the rules stated for this event. Each market asks whether a specified side wins by more than a threshold, either 1.5 or 2.5 goals in the saved markets [1]. Because the window is limited to 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excludes extra time and penalties, the contract isolates the regulation-time result rather than the eventual winner of the tie [1]. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league, and that trademarks belong to their respective owners [1]. Readers should check the full rules on the provider page before relying on how a specific outcome would be settled.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does extra time count toward these spread contracts?
No. The rules measure the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and state that the calculation does not include extra time or penalties [1].
What does the Yes price on one of these markets represent?
In the saved snapshot, the Yes price for a market such as Bodrum winning by more than 1.5 goals was 0.16 [1]. This is a recorded price at one observation time, not an executable quote or a verified probability of the outcome.
Does the market end date mean the match is scheduled for that date?
The saved markets list an end date of October 19, 2026 at 16:00 UTC [1]. The rules describe the match as originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 and say the market closes after a winner is declared [1], so the end date in the data should not be read as the match date.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
