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Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

June 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core

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June 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core

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$0.00

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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12 markets tracked

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	31%
Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	26%
Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	20%
Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will Headline be -0.3% or below AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will Headline be -0.3% or below AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will Headline be 0.0% or above AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Headline be 0.0% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Headline be -0.3% or below AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Headline be 0.0% or above AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

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$0.00

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About This Event

Jun 2026 If ALL of the following occur for June 2026: Headline: -0.3% or below, Core: X or Y then the market resolves to Yes. For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items Less Food and Energy. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to N

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** June 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Jun 2026

If ALL of the following occur for June 2026: Headline: -0.3% or below, Core: X or Y then the market resolves to Yes. For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items Less Food and Energy. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to N

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If ALL of the following occur for June 2026: Headline: -0.3% or below, Core: 0.3% or above, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-deci"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Headline be -0.3% or below AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Headline be -0.3% or below AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Headline be -0.3% or below AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Headline be 0.0% or above AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Headline be 0.0% or above AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Headline be 0.0% or above AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

June 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core

Volume$0.00

Markets12

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KALSHI

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.0¢No 69.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for June 2026: Headline: Exactly -0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decima

KALSHI

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for June 2026: Headline: Exactly -0.1%, Core: Exactly 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decima

KALSHI

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for June 2026: Headline: Exactly -0.1%, Core: 0.3% or above, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decim

KALSHI

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for June 2026: Headline: Exactly -0.2%, Core: 0.3% or above, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decim

KALSHI

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for June 2026: Headline: Exactly -0.2%, Core: 0.1% or below, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decim

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/wZAJ_8" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="June 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core"></iframe>

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June 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core

June 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core

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Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

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Events (1)

June 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core

Markets (12)

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?

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Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

June 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be Exactly 0.2% for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.1% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?

Will Headline be Exactly -0.2% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Jun 2026?

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