Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns this stream "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The wording matters. The contract compares an average over the window with the starting price, not the price at the end of the window. A reader comparing it with a contract that asks whether SOL will be higher at a specific moment would be comparing different questions.
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T22:20:00.000Z [1]. This is the scheduled close recorded in the provider data, not a statement about when resolution data was published.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation was taken at 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-28T21:39:23.704Z [1]. The provider status at observation was "active" [1]. These prices describe that observation only and do not show the market's position at the time you read this.
At observation, the outcome prices were "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, and nothing in the evidence explains why the prices were where they were.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record lists one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. The saved event therefore contains only this contract, and the provider data does not establish that every possible outcome is listed.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants, so it cannot show how deep the market was or how many traders held either side. The evidence also does not include the SOL price at the start of the window, any TWAP values, or the final resolution. Because the observation predates the retrieval and the listed end time, a reader should check the provider page for the current status and the final outcome before relying on any of these figures.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a single Polymarket contract titled "Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET," in the crypto category [1]. It is a short-window price contract. According to the contract rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract does not settle on whatever Solana price appears on exchanges or other spot markets. The rules specify that resolution uses the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and that other sources or spot markets are not the reference [1]. Anyone reading the outcome should therefore check the Chainlink stream named in the rules rather than a general price chart. The event's listed end time is 2026-10-28T22:20:00.000Z, and the provider lists its status as active [1]. A listed end time is the scheduled close of the contract window. It is not a record that the market has closed or that any result has been determined.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP over the stated window finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the comparison is between an average over the period and a starting price, the outcome depends on how the price moved across the window, not only on where it ended. Readers can use the snapshot prices to see how the platform priced the two outcomes at one moment, but those prices are not executable quotes and not verified probabilities. The saved event contains one market with an Up price of 0.505 and a Down price of 0.495 at the time of observation [1]. Those figures describe that snapshot only, and the sample covers this one contract.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the contract resolve on?
It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price feed determines the outcome?
The rules name the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
Does the contract settle on the price at the end of the window?
No. The rules compare the time-weighted average over the window with the price at the beginning of the window, so the average rather than the closing price is the figure that matters [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.