Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T00:00:06.241Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract, "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns that feed "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T18:40:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should check both when comparing with other contracts. Other Dogecoin contracts may use different windows, sources, or end times, so their prices are not directly comparable to this one.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot shows two outcomes, Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are prices from a single observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-28T00:00:06.241Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T02:42:55.348Z [1]. Because the observation predates the retrieval by more than two and a half hours, it describes market conditions at that earlier observation time only. It does not describe current prices.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, and it is not partial: the coverage record reports one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. The provider's note that all saved markets are included "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Here the two outcomes are the complete binary structure of the contract.
Equal prices indicate only that the snapshot priced the two outcomes equally at that moment. The evidence does not include volume, trader counts, or price history, so it cannot show liquidity or how much activity sits behind these prices.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the current price, any later price movement, or the actual resolution. It also does not explain why the prices stood where they did. No other platform's Dogecoin contract was supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Any difference in price between contracts with different rules or close times should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity without separate evidence on their terms, liquidity, and resolution.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T00:00:06.241Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration up or down contract on Polymarket about Dogecoin, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET." The contract's own terms say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The question is therefore whether the average price across the window ends up at or above where the window started, not whether the price is higher at the final moment. The price measure is specified narrowly. The resolution source is Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, which the contract identifies by a 60-second TWAP stream address [1]. The contract also states that only this Chainlink data stream counts, and not other sources or spot markets [1]. Traders pricing the contract are therefore reasoning about that specific feed, which can differ from the price shown on a given exchange at a given moment. The saved record for this event was observed at 2026-10-28T00:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T02:42:55Z. It lists the status as active and gives a listed end time of 2026-10-28T18:40:00Z [1]. The listed end time is a field in the contract record. It is not evidence that the window has closed or that a result has been determined. The observation and retrieval times describe when the record was captured, not when the contract closed.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question about Dogecoin's price behavior over one five-minute window in the title. Because the outcome depends on a time-weighted average compared with the starting price, a brief move early in the window does not decide the result on its own. The rule ties the outcome to Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream and excludes other sources [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check that stream, rather than a general price chart, to understand how the outcome is defined [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up?
The contract resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the stated range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The contract states that other sources and spot markets are not used for this market [1].
What time window does the contract cover?
The title specifies October 28, 2:35PM to 2:40PM ET. The saved record lists an end time of 2026-10-28T18:40:00.000Z [1].
Does a listed end time mean the market has already settled?
No. The saved record shows a listed end time and an active status at retrieval, but it does not report a settled outcome [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
PM $0
BNB Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
PM $0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
PM $0
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.