Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T06:00:06.440Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single binary contract on Polymarket for the Dogecoin price over a 15-minute window, labeled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T05:30:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time, not a resolution result. The evidence does not show how or whether this contract has resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-26T06:00:06.440Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-26T08:47:23.377Z [1]. The prices below describe the observed snapshot, not live conditions at the time you read this.
- Up: 0.5
- Down: 0.5 [1]
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record does not include bid and ask levels, depth, or trade history. The equal prices show only that the saved snapshot priced both outcomes at 0.5. The evidence does not explain why.
Coverage is complete for this saved event: one market was reported and one was included, with no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is present, there is no cross-platform or cross-contract comparison to make.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include Dogecoin price data, the TWAP values for the window, or the starting price, so the snapshot cannot be linked to any actual outcome. The status is recorded as active at observation [1], but the evidence does not confirm the market's status today. Volume and trader counts are not included, so the snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each view. Finally, the title uses Eastern Time while the listed end time is given in UTC [1]; readers should check the close against the rules before relying on either.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T06:00:06.440Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window contract on the price of Dogecoin, listed on Polymarket under the title "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether DOGE/USD moves up or down over a fixed 15-minute window. According to the rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin across the window named in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution data is specific. The rules name Chainlink as the resolution source and point to its DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, which is a 60-second TWAP feed [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream and not the price from any other source or spot market [1]. A reader should therefore treat the contract as a question about this one data feed, not a general judgment on Dogecoin's market price. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T05:30:00Z, which corresponds to the 1:30 AM ET close named in the title [1]. That end time is the scheduled close of the contract window as written in the rules. It is not evidence of how the price moved, and the contract's final outcome is not included in the evidence available for this entry.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question: whether the average DOGE/USD price from the Chainlink TWAP stream over a 15-minute window ends at or above the price where the window began [1]. Because the reference is an average over the window and not a single spot print, a brief move at the end of the window may affect the result differently than it would under a closing-price rule. The rules explicitly limit the measurement to the named Chainlink stream, so a reader comparing this contract with other Dogecoin prices should check which source each uses [1]. The contract is useful for understanding how a short-interval price question is defined, including its reference point, averaging method, and data source.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules, and not other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract's listed window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T05:30:00Z, matching the 1:30 AM ET end in the title [1].
Do the displayed prices show the probability of an Up result?
The displayed Up and Down prices are snapshot values from the provider and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved sample shows both outcomes at 0.5 with one market included [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.