Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is a short-window price direction market on Polymarket. It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink time-weighted average price (TWAP) for DOGE/USD over the window in the title is at or above the starting price for that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The source states that the market is about "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this with a spot-price or exchange-based contract should expect different resolution mechanics, even if the asset name is the same.
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T10:05:00.000Z, and the title's window is 5:00AM to 5:05AM ET [1]. The date in these rules describes when the contract closes, not an announced event.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation was taken at 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-01T07:45:59.744Z [1]. The prices below describe the observation time, not the retrieval time or the present moment. The evidence does not show whether the market is still trading now.
The snapshot lists two outcomes: "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample contains one market from one provider event, with no partial sampling flagged [1]. Because only these two outcomes were saved, no cross-platform or cross-event comparison is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices sit at 0.5, and it does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants. The record also does not show how the market moved before or after the observation time.
Other Dogecoin contracts with different windows, resolution sources, or close times should not be treated as equivalent to this one. Price differences between contracts with different rules do not by themselves indicate an opportunity. The evidence also does not show the final outcome, since the listed end time is after the retrieval time.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration price contract on Polymarket about Dogecoin, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET" [1]. It belongs to the crypto category and asks whether DOGE moves up or down over a five-minute window. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, which the rules link to directly [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the DOGE/USD pair, not any other data source or spot market [1]. A trader reading the contract should therefore focus on that specific feed rather than on exchange prices quoted elsewhere. The saved record lists the contract as active, with a listed end time of 10:05 UTC on November 1, 2026 [1]. That listed end time is the contract's closing time under its rules. It is not a record of how the contract resolved, and the supplied material does not report a resolution outcome. The saved outcome prices were 0.5 for "Up" and 0.5 for "Down" [1]. These are a single snapshot taken when the provider data was observed. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The record also reports a trading volume figure, but volume does not indicate liquidity or how many people traded.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the DOGE/USD price over one defined window, using a specific data feed as the referee [1]. Because the rules tie the outcome to a time-weighted average rather than a single instant, the result depends on prices across the whole five-minute period compared with the starting price [1]. Readers should note that the contract is about a very short interval, and that its resolution depends on the Chainlink data stream named in the rules rather than on whichever price source a reader happens to check [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves to Up if the Chainlink time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is about the price in that feed and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
What time window does the contract cover?
The title gives the window as 5:00AM to 5:05AM ET on November 1 [1]. The saved record lists the contract's end time as 10:05 UTC on November 1, 2026 [1].
Do the saved prices show which outcome is more likely?
The saved snapshot shows 0.5 for both Up and Down [1]. That snapshot is not an executable quote or a verified probability, so it does not show which outcome is more likely.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
