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NHL Conn Smythe Trophy

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NHL Conn Smythe Trophy

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Polymarket

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0.0%avg

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21 markets tracked

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nathan MacKinnon)

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Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nathan MacKinnon)	Kalshi	20%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Frederik Andersen)	Kalshi	9%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Cale Makar)	Kalshi	8%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Kirill Kaprizov)	Kalshi	6%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Scott Wedgewood)	Kalshi	5%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Tage Thompson)	Kalshi	4%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Jack Eichel)	Kalshi	4%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Sebastian Aho)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Jason Robertson)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Cole Caufield)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Seth Jarvis)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Mikko Rantanen)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nikita Kucherov)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Clayton Keller)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Andrei Vasilevskiy)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Sidney Crosby)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nick Suzuki)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Leon Draisaitl)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Jake Oettinger)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (David Pastrnak)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Connor McDavid)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

20%

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About This Event

In 2026 If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is X then the market resolves to Yes. The Conn Smythe Trophy is awarded to the most valuable player in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NHL Conn Smythe Trophy
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is X then the market resolves to Yes. The Conn Smythe Trophy is awarded to the most valuable player in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Frederik Andersen, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Conn Smythe Trophy is awarded to the most valuable player in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Frederik Andersen)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Tage Thompson)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Scott Wedgewood)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Seth Jarvis)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Sidney Crosby)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Sebastian Aho)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nick Suzuki)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nathan MacKinnon)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Mikko Rantanen)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Leon Draisaitl)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nikita Kucherov)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Kirill Kaprizov)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Jason Robertson)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Jake Oettinger)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Jack Eichel)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (David Pastrnak)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Connor McDavid)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Cale Makar)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Clayton Keller)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Cole Caufield)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Andrei Vasilevskiy)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

NHL Conn Smythe Trophy

Volume$0.00

Markets21

21 of 21

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KALSHI

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nathan MacKinnon)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nathan MacKinnon)

If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Nathan MacKinnon, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Conn Smythe Trophy is awarded to the most valuable player in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Frederik Andersen)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Frederik Andersen)

If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Frederik Andersen, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Conn Smythe Trophy is awarded to the most valuable player in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Cale Makar)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Cale Makar)

If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Cale Makar, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Conn Smythe Trophy is awarded to the most valuable player in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Kirill Kaprizov)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Kirill Kaprizov)

If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Kirill Kaprizov, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Conn Smythe Trophy is awarded to the most valuable player in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Scott Wedgewood)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Scott Wedgewood)

If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Scott Wedgewood, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Conn Smythe Trophy is awarded to the most valuable player in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/x6L5gz" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="NHL Conn Smythe Trophy"></iframe>

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NHL Conn Smythe Trophy

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Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nathan MacKinnon)

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Events (1)

NHL Conn Smythe Trophy

Markets (21)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nathan MacKinnon)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nathan MacKinnon)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Frederik Andersen)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Frederik Andersen)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Cale Makar)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Cale Makar)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Kirill Kaprizov)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Kirill Kaprizov)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Scott Wedgewood)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Scott Wedgewood)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nathan MacKinnon)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

NHL Conn Smythe Trophy

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nathan MacKinnon)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Nathan MacKinnon)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Frederik Andersen)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Frederik Andersen)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Cale Makar)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Cale Makar)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Kirill Kaprizov)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Kirill Kaprizov)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Scott Wedgewood)

Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year? (Scott Wedgewood)

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Discussion

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