Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on whether Dogecoin goes up or down over a five-minute window. The rules say it "will resolve to 'Up' if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Down'" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The title uses Eastern Time ("6:20PM-6:25PM ET"), while the listed end time is recorded in UTC as 2026-10-26T22:25:00.000Z [1]. Readers comparing this contract with others should check the time zone of each listed close, since a title and a listed end time can be expressed differently.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T01:33:18.842Z [1]. These are different events from the contract's listed close. The prices below describe only the observation time, not current conditions.
At that observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. Prices are snapshots from a provider. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The saved data does not include volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each position.
Because this event has one saved market, there is no cross-platform or cross-contract comparison in this evidence. The coverage record shows 1 total market, 1 included, and no partial sample [1]. The sample warning states that the saved markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome [1]. Other contracts with similar wording may use different windows, data sources, or close times, so a price difference between them would not by itself indicate an opportunity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the price at the start of the window, the TWAP during the window, or the final result. It also does not explain why both outcomes were priced equally. No later price observations are included, so the current state of this market cannot be determined from this snapshot. Readers should check the provider's live page and the Chainlink data stream directly before relying on any price.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-duration Dogecoin contract listed on Polymarket. The event title is "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET", and it is categorized as crypto [1]. The contract asks whether Dogecoin's price moves up or down over a five-minute window. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The price measure is set by the resolution source, not by general market prices. The source states that the contract uses Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream and that it is about the price according to that stream, not any other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader should therefore treat the Chainlink stream as the reference for how this contract is judged. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T22:25:00Z, which is the close of the window shown in the title [1]. The event was listed as active in the saved record [1]. The saved observation time is earlier than the retrieval time, and both are historical snapshots rather than live data. Nothing in the saved record shows how the contract eventually resolved.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Dogecoin's price over one five-minute interval, as defined by Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. Because the outcome depends on a time-weighted average rather than a single spot print, the result reflects the average across the window compared with the starting price [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check the stated resolution source, since the provider specifies that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
Which price feed is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the provider says the contract does not follow other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract's window close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T22:25:00Z, which matches the 6:25PM ET close in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.