Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa: Method of Victory

Reported volume

K 32.1K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa: Method of Victory

Vol

K 32.1K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Lucia Szabova by Submission at 32.5%.

Kalshi

Lucia Szabova by Submission32.5%
Lucia Szabova by Decision29.5%
Lucia Szabova by KO/TKO/DQ22.5%
Tainara Lisboa by Decision5.5%
Tainara Lisboa by KO/TKO/DQ5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Lucia Szabova wins by Submission?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Lucia Szabova wins by Submission?	Kalshi	32.5%
Lucia Szabova wins by Decision?	Kalshi	29.5%
Lucia Szabova wins by KO/TKO/DQ?	Kalshi	22.5%
Tainara Lisboa wins by Decision?	Kalshi	5.5%
Tainara Lisboa wins by KO/TKO/DQ?	Kalshi	5.0%
Tainara Lisboa wins by Submission?	Kalshi	2.5%
Fight ends in a draw/no contest?	Kalshi	1.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 32.1K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa (Oct 31) If Lucia Szabova wins X during the Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa: Method of Victory
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 32.1K contracts
Coverage: 7 of 7 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Lucia Szabova wins by Submission?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31SZALIS-SZASUB; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31szalis
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 32.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 67.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Lucia Szabova wins by Submission during the Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Lucia Szabova wins by KO/TKO/DQ?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31SZALIS-SZAKOTKODQ; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31szalis
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 19.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 22.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 77.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Lucia Szabova wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Lucia Szabova wins by Decision?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31SZALIS-SZADEC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31szalis
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 513.37 contracts
Outcome Yes: 29.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 70.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Lucia Szabova wins by Decision during the Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Tainara Lisboa wins by Submission?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31SZALIS-LISSUB; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31szalis
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.9K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tainara Lisboa wins by Submission during the Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Tainara Lisboa wins by KO/TKO/DQ?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31SZALIS-LISKOTKODQ; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31szalis
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 803.34 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tainara Lisboa wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Tainara Lisboa wins by Decision?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31SZALIS-LISDEC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31szalis
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tainara Lisboa wins by Decision during the Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Fight ends in a draw/no contest?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31SZALIS-DRAW; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31szalis
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 191.11 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Lucia Szabova and Tainara Lisboa fight ends in a draw or no contest during the Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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