ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T07:55:00.000Z [1]. Other ZCash contracts, or contracts on other platforms, may use different time windows, price feeds, or comparison rules, so their prices should not be read against this one without checking their own wording.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this contract at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and the snapshot was retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:22:14.482Z [1]. The saved prices are Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are observed values from that snapshot, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The contract's status in the snapshot was active [1].
The sample covers one saved market, and the coverage record marks it as complete for this saved event, with no partial sample [1]. Because only one market is included, there is no other outcome to compare. The snapshot does not explain why the two prices are equal, and it contains no information about trading activity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include any price data after the observation time, so it cannot describe current prices. The snapshot also does not show the actual outcome, since the window closes at the listed end time and no resolution is recorded in the supplied material. Readers should check the provider page for the latest state and the final resolution, using the Chainlink source named in the rules.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price market on Polymarket about ZCash, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET" and categorized as Crypto [1]. It asks whether the price of ZCash will rise or fall over one five-minute window. According to the contract rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price used for resolution is not any exchange or spot quote. The rules specify the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink, and state that the market concerns only that data stream, not other sources or spot markets [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore look at that specific feed rather than a general price tracker when considering how the outcome will be determined. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T07:55:00.000Z, and the provider status at the time of retrieval was active [1]. The listed end time is the scheduled close of the contract's window, not a record that the market has resolved. The evidence does not show a resolution outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's price over a fixed five-minute window, expressed through a time-weighted average rather than a single trade [1]. Because the outcome compares the average over the window with the starting price, the contract is about whether the averaged price finishes at or above where the window began. The market's stated resolution source is limited to one Chainlink data stream, so the rules define the outcome narrowly and do not depend on how the asset trades elsewhere [1]. The market snapshot shows an Up price of 0.5 and a Down price of 0.5 at the observation time of 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z [1]. These are snapshot prices from that moment. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The sample includes only this one market for the event, so no other outcomes or market comparisons are available for this contract.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the market resolve to "Up" mean?
The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of ZCash over the 3:50AM to 3:55AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, according to the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that the market is about this data stream and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the listed end time mean the market has already resolved?
No. The listed end time of 2026-10-20T07:55:00.000Z is the scheduled close of the window. The evidence does not show a resolved outcome [1].
Do the Up and Down prices show the chance that ZCash will rise?
The evidence shows only a snapshot of 0.5 for each outcome at the observation time [1]. Those prices are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.