Illinois gas prices tomorrow
K 42.3K contracts
1
27
Illinois gas prices tomorrow
K 42.3K contracts
1
27
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 4.7950 at 98.5%.
Kalshi
- Above 4.795098.5%
- Above 4.775097.5%
- Above 4.790097.5%
- Above 4.765096%
- Above 4.770096%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 42.3K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
27
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 28, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Illinois are strictly greater than X on Oct 28, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T15:00:05.977Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event "Illinois gas prices tomorrow" is in the Economics category [1]. Its rule reads: "If average regular gas prices for Illinois are strictly greater than X on Oct 27, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Each listed market uses a different threshold X, so each one asks a separate yes or no question about the same reference date.
The rule names October 27, 2026. The market records list an endDate of 2026-11-03T14:00:00.000Z [1], which differs from that rule date. The evidence does not explain the difference, and the source excerpt says the listed end time is "not supplied" [1]. Readers should check the provider's rules before relying on either date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-26T15:00:05Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T17:44:02Z [1]. They describe that moment only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Among the included markets, the Yes price falls from 0.995 at the $4.8450 threshold to 0.05 at the $4.9000 threshold [1]. The $4.8600 threshold shows Yes at 0.72 and the $4.8650 threshold shows Yes at 0.38 [1]. Thresholds at or below $4.8550 were priced above 0.89 for Yes, while thresholds from $4.8950 upward were all at 0.05 [1].
The sample is partial. The provider event has 17 markets, and 12 are included [1]. Markets were selected by highest finite Yes price, then volume [1]. The five omitted markets are not shown, and nothing in this snapshot should be read as their price. Volume is also not supplied in a form that shows liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the AAA average price for October 27, 2026, so the outcome of any market is unknown. It does not explain why prices are where they are, does not report how many participants hold each side, and contains no news about Illinois gas prices. No price after the 17:44 UTC retrieval is available.
References
- Kalshi: Illinois gas prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T15:00:05.977Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract belongs to a Kalshi event titled Illinois gas prices tomorrow. The event is in the Economics category and asks about average regular gas prices in Illinois on October 27, 2026. Under the contract rules, if average regular gas prices for Illinois are strictly greater than a stated threshold X on October 27, 2026, according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The reference source for the price is therefore AAA, and the comparison is against a single threshold rather than a range. Each market in this event sets a different threshold. The event page lists the status as active and does not supply a listed end time [1]. The individual market records carry an end date of November 3, 2026 at 14:00 UTC [1]. That date is a data field attached to the market records. It is not the date the contract rules name for the gas price measurement, which is October 27, 2026 [1]. The contract rules also do not say when or how the market will be settled after that measurement, so this article does not describe a settlement outcome. The prices referred to here are snapshots from the provider data, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved data was observed on October 26, 2026 at 15:00 UTC [1]. The Yes prices in the included thresholds fall as the threshold rises, from 0.995 at $4.8450 to 0.05 at $4.9000 [1]. The sample includes 12 of the 17 markets in the event, so it is a partial sample [1]. Thresholds not included in the sample are not known to be lower or higher in price, and the sample should not be treated as the complete set of thresholds. Trading volume is not reported in the sample and should not be read as liquidity or a count of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the average regular gas price in Illinois, as reported by AAA, will be strictly above a chosen threshold on October 27, 2026 [1]. Because each market uses a different threshold, the set of markets reflects a range of price levels rather than a single forecast. The market prices reported in the saved data are snapshots from October 26, 2026 and show how the Yes price changes across the thresholds in the included sample [1]. They are not a current reading and do not show what the price is now.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Illinois gas prices tomorrow contract ask?
It asks whether average regular gas prices for Illinois, according to AAA, will be strictly greater than a stated threshold X on October 27, 2026 [1]. If the answer is yes, the market resolves to Yes [1].
Which source determines the price in this contract?
The contract rules name AAA as the source for the average regular gas price in Illinois [1].
Do the market prices show the current gas price in Illinois?
No. The prices are provider snapshots observed on October 26, 2026 at 15:00 UTC, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
Why do the markets have different thresholds?
Each market in the event uses a different threshold X, so each one asks whether the AAA-based average will be strictly above a different dollar amount [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
