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GroupPOLYMARKET

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?
Vol

PM $2.4K

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Events

1

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Markets

11

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $2.4K

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?

PM $5.1K
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 19?Yes 44.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 19?Yes 32.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?

PM $20.2K
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 18?Yes 47.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 18?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 18?

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 18?

PM $2.9K
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 18?Yes 69.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 18?Yes 29%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 18?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on October 18?

Lowest temperature in Lucknow on October 18?

PM $2.3K
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 20°C on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 18?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 18?

Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 18?

PM $2.1K
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 18?Yes 47.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 18?Yes 42%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 18?Yes 11%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Milan on October 18?

Lowest temperature in Milan on October 18?

PM $549.99
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 8°C or below on October 18?Yes 45%
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 9°C on October 18?Yes 39%
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 10°C on October 18?Yes 39%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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