Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

UEFA Nations League Champion

Total Volume

$110.21K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

UEFA Nations League Champion

Vol

$110.21K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $110.21K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $110.21K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	38%
Will England win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	23%
Will France win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	18%
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	11%
Will Netherlands win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	4%
Will Italy win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	4%
Will Greece win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	4%
Will Norway win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	1%
Will Germany win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	1%
Will Wales win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	1%
Will Turkiye win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	1%
Will Serbia win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	1%
Will Denmark win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	1%
Will Czechia win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	1%
Will Croatia win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	1%
Will Belgium win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

38%

Top Probability

$110.21K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026-27 UEFA Nations League If X is the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UEFA Nations League Champion
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026-27 UEFA Nations League

If X is the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Wales is the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respec"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $110.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Wales win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Turkiye win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Serbia win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $9.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Norway win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Netherlands win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Italy win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Greece win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Germany win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will France win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $14.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $46.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will England win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $20.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Denmark win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Czechia win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Croatia win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $136
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Belgium win the UEFA Nations League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 28, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

UEFA Nations League Champion

Volume$110.21K

Markets16

16 of 16

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KALSHI

Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?

If Spain is the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respec

KALSHI

Will England win the UEFA Nations League?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

KALSHISports

Will England win the UEFA Nations League?

If England is the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their resp

KALSHI

Will France win the UEFA Nations League?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHISports

Will France win the UEFA Nations League?

If France is the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respe

KALSHI

Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?

If Portugal is the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their res

KALSHI

Will Netherlands win the UEFA Nations League?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Netherlands win the UEFA Nations League?

If Netherlands is the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their

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6¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/xXJwnk" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UEFA Nations League Champion"></iframe>

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UEFA Nations League Champion

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Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?

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Events (1)

UEFA Nations League Champion

Markets (16)

Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?

Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?

Will England win the UEFA Nations League?

Will England win the UEFA Nations League?

Will France win the UEFA Nations League?

Will France win the UEFA Nations League?

Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?

Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?

Will Netherlands win the UEFA Nations League?

Will Netherlands win the UEFA Nations League?

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Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?

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UEFA Nations League Champion

Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?

Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?

Will England win the UEFA Nations League?

Will England win the UEFA Nations League?

Will France win the UEFA Nations League?

Will France win the UEFA Nations League?

Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?

Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?

Will Netherlands win the UEFA Nations League?

Will Netherlands win the UEFA Nations League?

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