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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Name: Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes
End: 2026-05-02T17:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$19.89K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Vol

$19.89K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $19.89K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $19.89K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?	Poly	47%
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?	Poly	28%
Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?	Poly	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

47%

Top Probability

$19.89K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between Toronto FC and San Jose Earthquakes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between Toronto FC and San Jose Earthquakes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026
If Toronto FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this m"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $19.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $727.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $361
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $622
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $18.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between Toronto FC and San Jose Earthquakes.

Volume$19.89K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If San Jose Earthquakes wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up ga

POLYMARKET

Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If Toronto FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this m

POLYMARKET

Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/xbYRW1" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes"></iframe>

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Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes

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Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Markets (3)

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?

Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?

Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?

Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?

Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?

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Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?

Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?

Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?

Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?

Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?

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