ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event asks whether ZCash will rise or fall over a short window. According to the contract rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The window in the title is 12:15AM to 12:30AM ET on October 31 [1].
The rules name a specific resolution source: the "ZEC/USD TWAP data stream" from Chainlink. The source states that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A contract on a different feed, a spot exchange price, or a differently calculated average would not be the same measurement, even if its name is similar.
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T04:30:00.000Z [1]. This is the close time shown by the provider. It is not a statement of when the price will be determined in every case, so readers should rely on the rules text for the resolution method.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z and retrieved at 2026-10-30T12:07:29.546Z [1]. It shows one market with two outcomes: "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. The status was "active" at the time of observation [1].
These prices are a snapshot from that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because both outcomes are at 0.5 in this record, the snapshot shows no difference between them. It does not indicate which outcome the market favors, and it says nothing about how the price changed before or after the observation.
The sample covers one market in this event, and the coverage record marks it as complete for this saved event: total markets 1, included markets 1, partial sample false [1]. The sample warning also states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Here the outcomes are the binary Up and Down, so no omitted outcome is in question for this event.
No other platform's contract is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the price at the start of the window, the TWAP value during the window, or the final result. It also does not show any trading volume or number of traders, and volume would not indicate liquidity in any case. The snapshot is from October 30, 2026, and it should not be read as the current price. Anyone reviewing this contract should check the live rules and resolution data directly.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto price contract listed on Polymarket. Its title is "ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the price of ZEC/USD over a fixed window will finish at or above where it started. The rules state that the market "will resolve to 'Up' if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Down'" [1]. The measure is a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price. The rules name a specific resolution source, the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules also say the market concerns only the price in that Chainlink data stream, "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should therefore not assume that a price on a different exchange or data feed determines the outcome. The listed end time is 2026-10-31T04:30:00Z [1]. The contract's stated window is in Eastern Time, so the end time and the title's clock times describe the same closing point. The listed end time is the date written in the contract rules and is not a separate event announcement. At the observation time of 2026-10-30T12:00:07Z, the saved market showed two outcomes, Up and Down, each at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider record. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The saved data does not include trading volume or the number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD time-weighted average price over the stated 15-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on a time-weighted average and a single named data stream, the result can differ from a comparison of spot prices at the window's start and end. Anyone reading the contract should check the resolution source named in the rules rather than general market price reports [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-30 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The rules point to the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP, and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
What do the 0.5 prices mean?
The saved record shows Up and Down each at 0.5 at the observation time of 2026-10-30T12:00:07Z [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
When does the market end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T04:30:00Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.