Chicago vs Atlanta: Team Sacks
K 19.19 contracts
1
10
Chicago vs Atlanta: Team Sacks
K 19.19 contracts
1
10
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 19.19 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
10
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
CHI vs ATL (Oct 18) If Chicago records X sacks in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the number of sacks recorded by Chicago during the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Any sacks recorded during a 2-point conversion attempt do not count. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event asks how many sacks one team records in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 [1]. Each threshold market resolves to Yes if that team reaches the stated number. The rules state that "Any sacks recorded during a 2-point conversion attempt do not count" [1]. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If it has not started within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price [1]. The excerpt also says the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The Oct 18 date is the originally scheduled start in the contract rules, not a confirmed event time.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T00:05:15.455Z [1]. These are past timestamps, and the figures below should not be read as current. The sample includes all 10 saved markets for this event, with partialSample set to false [1]. All ten are listed as active, with an end date field of 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z [1]. The excerpt says the listed end time is not supplied, so this field should be checked against the provider rather than treated as a confirmed close.
Within each team, Yes prices fall as the threshold rises. For Chicago, Yes is 0.485 for 2+ sacks, 0.445 for 3+, 0.275 for 4+, 0.165 for 5+, and 0.105 for 6+ [1]. For Atlanta, Yes is 0.51 for 2+, 0.425 for 3+, 0.26 for 4+, 0.155 for 5+, and 0.10 for 6+ [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The Chicago and Atlanta contracts measure different teams, so a gap between them at the same threshold does not establish an arbitrage opportunity. The evidence does not include volume or trader counts.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price was where it was at observation, and it does not show current prices. It contains no postponement notice, no news about the game, and no confirmed event time. The source states that the saved sample does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1], so the ten markets should not be read as the complete set of sack counts. Any postponement outcome depends on the official final result, which is not in the supplied evidence. Readers should check the provider's current contract page before relying on any figure.
References
- Kalshi: Chicago vs Atlanta: Team Sacks. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a sports contract on Kalshi titled "Chicago vs Atlanta: Team Sacks" [1]. The contract is tied to a Pro Football game between Chicago and Atlanta that was originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 [1]. Its rules state that if Chicago records X sacks in that game, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The rules tie the count to the number of sacks recorded by Chicago during the game, and sacks recorded during a 2-point conversion attempt do not count [1]. The saved event includes separate markets for each team at several sack thresholds. In the saved record, Atlanta and Chicago each have markets for 2 or more, 3 or more, 4 or more, 5 or more, and 6 or more sacks [1]. Each market is a separate yes or no question about one team's sack total, so a single threshold does not depend on the others. The contract's rules also describe what happens if the game changes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original start time, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result [1]. If the game has not started within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price instead [1]. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The saved record lists an end date of October 20, 2026 at 17:00 UTC for these markets [1]. That is a field in the saved market data, not an announced event date or a confirmed game time. The contract rules refer to the game as originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, and the record does not confirm whether it was played on that date.
Historical Context
The supplied background on the teams is limited. Wikipedia describes the Atlanta Falcons as a professional American football team based in Atlanta that competes in the National Football League as a member of the National Football Conference South division [3]. It also states that the Falcons were founded on June 30, 1965, and joined the NFL in 1966 as an expansion team [3]. The supplied sources do not include a history of the Chicago team or of the Chicago and Atlanta matchup, and they do not describe this particular game's context.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single statistic in one game: how many sacks one team records. Because the rules count only sacks by Chicago or Atlanta during the game, a market for one team does not measure the other team's defense or the overall game total [1]. The exclusion of sacks during 2-point conversion attempts changes how the count is made, so the stated rule matters for reading any threshold [1]. The price shown for each threshold is a snapshot from the saved record, not an executable quote or a verified probability. Trading volume in a market is not the same as liquidity or the number of participants. The saved set includes all markets from this provider event, but that does not show that every possible outcome is listed. The Kalshi page states that the platform is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league, and that trademarks belong to their owners [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes result mean for this contract?
According to the contract rules, the market resolves to Yes if the specified team records the stated number of sacks in the game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 [1]. For example, the Chicago 3 or more sacks market resolves to Yes only if Chicago records at least three sacks in that game [1].
Do sacks during 2-point conversion attempts count?
No. The rules state that any sacks recorded during a 2-point conversion attempt do not count toward the total [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
The rules say the market stays open and resolves on the official final result if the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time [1]. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price [1].
Does the market always run until its listed end date?
No. The rules state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The saved end date is listed in the market data, but the record does not confirm when the game was or will be played [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
