ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This market covers a single five-minute ZEC/USD window, described in the title as "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The outcome therefore depends on the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream... not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-16T15:15:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time. It is not a record of when the market was resolved, and the evidence contains no resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:24:31.085Z [1]. Both times are earlier than the current time of this explanation, so the prices describe that snapshot only. The Up outcome was saved at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. The provider status was active at retrieval [1].
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold either side.
The sample covers one saved market for this provider event. Coverage is complete for that event, with one market included out of one total, and no partial sample is flagged [1]. The evidence does not show that the provider lists every possible outcome for other questions, but this event has only the two binary outcomes shown.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices sit at 0.5, and it does not show any movement over time. It also does not include the actual TWAP values for the window or the price at its start, so the saved prices cannot be linked to a result. If this window is compared with another ZEC or crypto contract, the wording, time window, and closing time should be checked first. Differences in these rules can change what a price means, and a difference in quoted prices alone does not indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration price contract on ZCash (ZEC) against the US dollar, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the asset's price over one five-minute window ends up at or above where it started. The contract has two outcomes, Up and Down, and the saved listing shows one market with each outcome priced at 0.5 at the time it was observed [1]. The rules tie resolution to a specific measure rather than to a headline price. The market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window and not a single print at the end, a move that briefly rises and then falls back can still produce a different result than a simple start-and-end comparison would suggest. The named resolution source is Chainlink, specifically its ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second averaging interval [1]. The rules state that only this Chainlink data stream counts. Other exchanges, spot markets, or price sources do not determine the outcome [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore check the Chainlink stream rather than a general price chart. The listed end time is 2026-10-16T15:15:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the stated window [1]. That date is a contract rule, not a separate announced event. The provider listed the market as active when it was retrieved [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether ZCash's time-weighted average price over a single five-minute window finishes at or above the price at the window's start, as recorded by the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. It is a narrow question about short-term direction under a defined averaging rule. Because the outcome is fixed by one named data stream, the result depends on that stream's values and not on the general market view of ZCash [1]. The price of each outcome in the saved listing reflects only what traders were paying at that observation time and is not a verified probability of the result [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as Up?
The market resolves to Up if the TWAP of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1]. A tie at the threshold therefore resolves to Up under the stated rule [1].
What happens if the price is lower at the end of the window?
If the TWAP over the window is below the price at the beginning of the range, the market resolves to Down [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, and the rules say other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the window close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-16T15:15:00Z, which matches the 11:15 AM ET end of the window in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
