ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket market titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET" [1]. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is 2026-10-20T03:30:00.000Z [1]. Converted, the window closes at 11:30 PM ET on October 19, so the two timestamps describe the same close. The listed end time is the contract's closing time, not a confirmed resolution time.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T08:37:06Z [1]. The quoted prices were Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot values from the observation time. They are not live quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities, and they should not be read as the current price.
The two outcomes are complementary within this one market, and the snapshot shows them at equal prices. Because the sample contains only this market, there is no comparison across contracts, platforms, or time windows. The market's volume is not included in the saved evidence, so nothing can be said about liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the price at the start of the window, the TWAP value during the window, or the final outcome, so the result cannot be determined from this material. The sample is a single market on one platform. The coverage record shows one market included out of one total, with no partial sample flag [1]. This does not establish that no other contracts exist for the same asset or time period.
The saved evidence does not explain why the quoted prices were equal, and it contains no information about trading activity or the views of participants. Any later price or outcome would require a new, separately dated snapshot or the official resolution record.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term price contract on Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET" [1]. The contract is one of a series of time-window markets on the price of ZCash (ZEC). Its rules link the outcome to a price data feed rather than to news or to any exchange's trading price [1]. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZEC over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The comparison therefore depends on an average across the window, compared with the starting level, rather than on the price at the final moment. The named resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. A price on another venue can therefore differ from the figure that decides this contract. The saved record lists the contract as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-20 03:30 UTC [1]. The record was observed at 2026-10-19 06:00 UTC and retrieved at 08:37 UTC on the same day [1]. The end time is the scheduled close of the window in the contract rules. It is not a report that the window has closed or that a result has been published.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over a five-minute window, from 11:25 PM to 11:30 PM ET on October 19, finishes at or above its value at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average, a brief spike or drop at the edges of the window may affect the result differently than a single closing price would. The contract is also narrow: it does not ask whether ZEC will be higher or lower than any other reference price, and it does not depend on other exchanges [1]. The saved snapshot shows the Up and Down outcomes each priced at 0.50 [1]. That figure is a single observed price, not an executable quote or a verified probability that ZEC will rise. Readers should also not infer anything about the resolved outcome from the snapshot, because the record does not report one.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market compares the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the time range in the title with the price at the start of that range. It resolves Up if the TWAP is greater than or equal to the starting price, and Down otherwise [1].
Do prices on other exchanges affect the result?
No. The rules say the market is about the price in the Chainlink TWAP data stream for ZEC/USD, not any other sources or spot markets [1].
Why do both outcomes show a price of 0.50 in the saved record?
The record shows Up and Down each at 0.5 at the time it was observed [1]. This is a snapshot of prices at that moment and is not a current quote or a verified probability.
When does the contract close?
The saved record gives a listed end time of 2026-10-20 03:30 UTC [1]. That is the scheduled end in the contract, not a report that the market has already resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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