Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This market is a single match between Kovshun Yaroslav and Troian Andrii in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men table tennis event. The rules state that it "will resolve to 'Kovshun Yaroslav' if Kovshun Yaroslav wins against Troian Andrii," and to 'Troian Andrii' if the opponent wins [1]. The match was "scheduled for October 19 at 1:00AM ET" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T05:00:00.000Z [1].

The rules also set out several non-standard outcomes. A canceled match, a tie, a walkover, or a delay "beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined" resolves to 50-50 [1]. If a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified after the match has begun, the contract resolves to the advancing player [1]. The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event," with a fallback to "a consensus of credible reporting" if final statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion [1].

Reading the snapshot

The saved provider observation is dated 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the source was retrieved on 2026-10-20T08:53:40.941Z [1]. The archived record therefore reflects the earlier observation, not live trading today. At that observation, the saved prices were 0.915 for Kovshun Yaroslav and 0.085 for Troian Andrii [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Their sum equals 1.00 in this record, but a reader should not treat them as a calibrated forecast.

The sample covers one saved Polymarket market with two outcomes. Coverage shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The provider notes that all saved markets for this event are included, but that "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because this is a two-outcome match, the prices do not omit a third named result.

The saved record does not include the match result. It also does not report trading volume, so no conclusion about liquidity or participation can be drawn.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show whether the match was played, when it started, or whether any retirement, walkover, or delay occurred. It does not show the final statistics or any credible reporting about the result. Without those, the contract's outcome cannot be determined from this record.

Comparisons with other platforms or contracts would require their own rules, close times, and snapshots. Differences in wording or resolution terms, such as the 50-50 conditions above, can change what a price means, so prices should not be compared across contracts without checking those terms.

References

1. Polymarket: Kovshun Yaroslav vs. Troian Andrii. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.