Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET," asks whether a price window resolves "Up" or "Down." The rules say it "will resolve to 'Up' if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Down'" [1]. The comparison is therefore between the window's TWAP and the price at the window's start, not between the price at the end and a fixed threshold.
The resolution source is the "DOGE/USD TWAP data stream" from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a DOGE market on another venue or data source should expect different wording and possibly a different resolution basis.
The listed end time is "2026-10-29T19:00:00.000Z" [1]. The title's window is stated in Eastern Time, so readers should convert carefully before comparing it with other listed close times.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T21:44:36.383Z [1]. It is a record of that moment, not a live quote. The provider status was recorded as "active" [1].
The sample contains one market from one platform, and it is not a partial sample. The saved listing shows Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. Those prices are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show trading depth or the number of participants. No other platform's price for this window is included, so no cross-platform comparison or average can be made.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, and it does not indicate what DOGE's price did after the snapshot. Because the contract resolves on a TWAP compared with the window's starting price, a reader should not assume the outcome can be inferred from the listed prices.
Sample coverage is limited to the saved provider event. The source notes that it "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The data do not establish any resolution result, and the snapshot should not be read as a current price for the window.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term Dogecoin contract listed on Polymarket. The contract asks whether the price of Dogecoin will be up or down over a specific window. According to the provider's rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The title sets the window as 2:55PM to 3:00PM ET on October 29, and the listed end time is 2026-10-29T19:00:00.000Z [1]. The resolution source is named in the rules as the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, which the provider links directly [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the DOGE/USD pair, and not the price reported by any other source or spot market [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore treat the Chainlink stream as the only measure used for settlement, even if other exchanges show different figures. The provider's rules were observed at 2026-10-28T21:00:06Z, and the listing was shown as active at that observation time [1]. The observed rules describe how the contract will be settled. They do not show what the price of Dogecoin is now, and they do not confirm how the market will close. A contract's end time is the time the rules set for closing, and the actual resolution is determined under the rules described above.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over a short window of five minutes. It compares the average price across the window with the price at the window's start, so a result of "Up" depends on that average rather than on a single trade or the closing price [1]. Because the rule uses the time-weighted average from a named data stream, the measure is narrower than the general Dogecoin market. Readers should keep in mind that a price snapshot on a prediction market is not an executable quote and is not a verified probability of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source is used for settlement?
The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market is not based on any other sources or spot markets [1].
What time window does the contract cover?
The title lists the window as 2:55PM to 3:00PM ET on October 29, and the listed end time in the provider's data is 2026-10-29T19:00:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.