Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET" [1]. The saved rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"." [1] The outcome therefore depends on a time-weighted average over the window compared with the starting price, not on a single closing print.
The rules name the resolution source as the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream and state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets." [1] Similarly titled contracts on other platforms may use different sources or wording, so their prices are not directly interchangeable with this one.
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-27T17:25:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed close time in the provider record. The excerpt does not give a separate resolution timestamp or describe how the result will be reported.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-26T22:50:27.469Z [1]. The status was recorded as active [1]. These timestamps describe the saved record only. They do not show prices at the time you are reading this.
The saved snapshot shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record does not explain the small gap between them, and it contains no volume or trading activity data.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, with partialSample set to false [1]. Because only this contract is included, there is no cross-contract comparison to make. The sample warning notes that all saved markets for this event are included, but that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Here, both binary outcomes are reported.
What remains uncertain
Prices can change after the snapshot, and the excerpt does not show current prices, liquidity, or any measure of participation. The record does not explain any price movement. Nothing in the supplied evidence shows how the Chainlink TWAP data stream will behave during the window, and the stream itself was not retrieved. Before relying on this contract's rules or outcome, read the live rule text and check the data stream directly.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window price contract on Polymarket for Hyperliquid, which is tied to the HYPE/USD trading pair. The contract is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET" and is categorized as Crypto [1]. Its rules state that it will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, which the rules identify by a Chainlink streams address [1]. The rules also say the market concerns the price reported by that specific Chainlink TWAP data stream, not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. This means the outcome depends on that one feed's measurement over the window, rather than on whatever prices appear on other exchanges during the same minutes. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T17:25:00Z, which corresponds to the end of the 1:25PM ET window named in the title [1]. The saved provider record shows the market as active at the time it was retrieved [1]. Because the window is only five minutes long, the contract is narrowly defined: it asks whether the average over those minutes finishes at or above the starting level, not where the price will be at a single moment.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD, as reported by a specific Chainlink TWAP data stream, is at or above the price at the start of the stated five-minute window [1]. Because it uses an average rather than a single print, short spikes at the beginning or end of the window affect the result less than a sustained move would. Because the rules restrict resolution to that one feed, the contract's outcome is defined by the feed's data and not by the broader market. The Up and Down prices in the saved record are market snapshots from the provider and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which data source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used for this contract [1].
Does a price near 0.5 for Up mean the outcome is predicted to be even?
No. The saved prices are provider snapshots of the market at the time of observation and are not verified probabilities or executable quotes [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.