GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICrypto

When will Bitcoin have its next halving?

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When will Bitcoin have its next halving?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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4 markets tracked

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)	Kalshi	94%
When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before May 2028)	Kalshi	76%
When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Apr 2028)	Kalshi	44%
When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Mar 2028)	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

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$0.00

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About This Event

Next halving If Bitcoin halves before X 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Bitcoin have its next halving?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Next halving

If Bitcoin halves before X 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Bitcoin halves before May 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before May 2028)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Mar 2028)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Apr 2028)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICrypto

When will Bitcoin have its next halving?

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KALSHI

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.2¢No 5.8¢

KALSHICrypto

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)

If Bitcoin halves before Jun 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before May 2028)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHICrypto

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before May 2028)

If Bitcoin halves before May 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Apr 2028)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.0¢No 56.0¢

KALSHICrypto

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Apr 2028)

If Bitcoin halves before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Mar 2028)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.6¢No 95.4¢

KALSHICrypto

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Mar 2028)

If Bitcoin halves before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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55¢

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When will Bitcoin have its next halving?

When will Bitcoin have its next halving?

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When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving?

Markets (4)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before May 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before May 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Apr 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Apr 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Mar 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Mar 2028)

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When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Bitcoin have its next halving?

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before May 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before May 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Apr 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Apr 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Mar 2028)

When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Mar 2028)

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