ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T21:00:05.889Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a Polymarket event titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET" in the Crypto category [1]. Per the listed rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the title's time range is "greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range." Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot price chart or another venue should expect possible differences, because the rules name a specific data stream.
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T17:05:00.000Z [1]. This is the close time shown by the provider. It is not a statement about when the market will be settled, and the evidence does not describe the settlement process.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is timestamped 2026-10-30T21:00:05.889Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T02:44:06.921Z [1]. Those are different moments. The provider observation is roughly five and three-quarter hours older than the retrieval time, so the prices below describe the saved observation, not live conditions.
In that observation, the outcome "Up" was priced at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The evidence does not explain why the prices were equal, and this analysis does not infer a cause.
The sample contains one market from one platform, with coverage marked as not partial [1]. The saved set includes every market in the event, but the provider does not establish that it lists every possible real-world outcome for this contract. No other platform appears in the evidence, so there is no cross-platform comparison to make.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, order book depth, or the number of participants, so no conclusions about market activity are possible. It also contains no information about the price of ZCash at the window's start or during the window. The current status of the contract is not known from this snapshot beyond the provider's saved "active" label at observation time [1].
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-30T21:00:05.889Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-window price market on ZCash (ZEC) priced in US dollars. Its title, "ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET", names a five-minute window on October 31. The market is listed on Polymarket and has two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. The rules define the outcome by comparing two values. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The window therefore asks whether the average price during those five minutes ends up at or above the starting price, rather than whether the price is higher at a single moment. The rules also specify the data source. The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink stream for the ZEC/USD pair, not any other source or spot market [1]. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-10-31T17:05:00Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time under its rules, and it should not be read as a record that the window has already been settled.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZEC/USD over one short, fixed window, as recorded by one named data stream. Because it compares an average over the window with the price at the window's start, a move that occurs inside the window can affect the result even if the price at the window's end differs. The contract's text limits the outcome to the Chainlink stream and states that other sources or spot markets do not determine it [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should keep that scope in mind.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-30 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes the contract resolve Up?
It resolves Up if the TWAP of ZCash over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
What makes the contract resolve Down?
It resolves Down when the TWAP over the window is below the price at the beginning of the window [1].
Which price data determines the outcome?
The rules name the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the contract close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T17:05:00Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.