Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T09:00:05.844Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers one Polymarket market, "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET" [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].

The listed end time is 2026-10-25T07:30:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time as listed in the source, not a confirmed resolution time. The evidence does not show whether or how the market has resolved.

Reading the snapshot

The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-24T09:00:05.844Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T12:03:00.276Z [1]. These are prices from the earlier observation, not live quotes. The snapshot lists "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. Read as provider-reported snapshot prices, they sit close to an even split, but they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The sample contains one market from one provider event, with no omitted outcomes in the saved data [1]. No comparison with other platforms or other contracts is supported by this evidence, so no cross-platform averaging or arbitrage conclusion is warranted. The evidence also does not include volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many traders hold each position.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do. It also does not show prices at any time after the 09:00 UTC observation, nor whether the market is still active at the time you read this. Because the provider status was recorded as "active" at observation time, that status should be treated as a past snapshot [1].

Readers comparing contracts should check each contract's exact wording, reference asset, time window, and listed end time, since these determine what a price actually refers to. Here the price applies only to the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP stream over the specified window [1].

References

1. Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T09:00:05.844Z.