Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

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Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Completed Match at 52.5%.

Polymarket

Completed Match52.5%

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16 markets tracked

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Lisbon: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Lisbon: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato	Poly	52.5%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato	Kalshi	Unavailable
Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato	Kalshi	Unavailable
Set 2 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato	Kalshi	Unavailable
Marco Trungelliti vs. Carlo Alberto Caniato: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Match Over/Under 21.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Match Over/Under 22.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Match Over/Under 23.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Set Handicap: Marco Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Carlo Alberto Caniato (+1.5)	Kalshi	Unavailable
Game Spread: Marco Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Carlo Alberto Caniato (+1.5)	Kalshi	Unavailable

Rules & Resolution

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PM $0

Reported volume · provider units

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Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $0
Coverage: 16 of 16 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5978942; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Marco Trungelliti: 61.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Carlo Alberto Caniato: 39.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato.

This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Marco Trungelliti.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Lisbon: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5978943; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-completed-match
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Contract: Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980727; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-first-set-winner-Trungelliti-vs-Caniato
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Marco Trungelliti: 57.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Carlo Alberto Caniato: 43.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Marco Trungelliti” if Marco Trungelliti wins the first set. It will resolve to “Carlo Alberto Caniato” if Carlo Alberto Caniato wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Contract: Set 2 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980732; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-set-2-winner-Trungelliti-vs-Caniato
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Marco Trungelliti: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Carlo Alberto Caniato: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Marco Trungelliti” if Marco Trungelliti wins set 2. It will resolve to “Carlo Alberto Caniato” if Carlo Alberto Caniato wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Contract: Marco Trungelliti vs. Carlo Alberto Caniato: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980738; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-set-totals-2pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over 2.5: 38.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under 2.5: 61.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered unequivocally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one ad

Contract: Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980744; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-first-set-total-8pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 addition

Contract: Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980750; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-first-set-total-9pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additio

Contract: Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980756; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-first-set-total-10pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: 29.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: 70.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additio

Contract: Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980762; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-set-2-total-8pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by November

Contract: Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980768; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-set-2-total-9pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by Novembe

Contract: Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980775; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-set-2-total-10pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by Novembe

Contract: Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Match Over/Under 21.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980781; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-match-total-21pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: 58.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: 41.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 

Contract: Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Match Over/Under 22.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980787; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-match-total-22pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 

Contract: Trungelliti vs. Caniato: Match Over/Under 23.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980793; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-match-total-23pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: 43.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: 57.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 

Contract: Set Handicap: Marco Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Carlo Alberto Caniato (+1.5)
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980798; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-set-handicap-home-1pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Marco Trungelliti: 38.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Carlo Alberto Caniato: 61.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Marco Trungelliti" if Marco Trungelliti wins by 2 or more sets than Carlo Alberto Caniato, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Carlo Alberto Caniato."
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Marco Trungelliti can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Carlo Alberto Caniato."
If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Contract: Game Spread: Marco Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Carlo Alberto Caniato (+1.5)
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5980803; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-trungel-caniato-2026-10-21-game-handicap-home-1pt5
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Marco Trungelliti: 55.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Carlo Alberto Caniato: 44.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Marco Trungelliti" if Marco Trungelliti wins 1.5 or more total games than Carlo Alberto Caniato in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Carlo Alberto Caniato".
Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Marco Trungelliti could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Carlo Alberto Caniato".
If th

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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