BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied rules describe a contract on the BNB price. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules name the resolution source as the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Readers comparing this contract with a similarly titled market elsewhere should check that the resolution source matches, since a different feed or averaging method would measure a different quantity.
The title window is 8:50AM to 8:55AM ET, but the listed end time is 2026-11-01T13:55:00.000Z [1]. The supplied evidence does not explain how the listed end time relates to the title window, so readers should rely on the written rules for timing.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-01T12:03:10.953Z [1]. The prices below are therefore a snapshot from the observation time, not a live reading at the moment of reading.
- Up: 0.505
- Down: 0.495 [1]
These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record does not include bid and ask depth, so it cannot show what a trade would cost. The record also reports a status of "active" at retrieval [1]. This snapshot contains one market for one event, with all saved markets included, and no comparison with other platforms [1]. Because the sample covers only this event, no conclusion about other contracts can be drawn from it.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why the prices were where they were, how many participants held each view, or whether the quoted prices would have been available for trading. It also does not establish how the market will resolve, since the window described in the rules is not yet resolved in the supplied record. Any comparison with a contract on another platform would need matching rules, resolution sources, and close times before the prices could be read side by side.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto contract on the price of BNB against US dollars, titled "BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET" and listed in the Crypto category [1]. It asks whether BNB's price over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is based on a specific data feed. The stated resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns the price shown in that feed, not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. A contract on the same asset that used a different feed or exchange price could therefore resolve differently, so the feed named in the rules is the one that matters. The saved record lists the market as active and gives a listed end time of 13:55 UTC on November 1, 2026, which matches the 8:55 AM ET end of the title's window [1]. This end time is part of the contract's listing, and the record does not indicate when the window will actually close or resolve. The saved snapshot shows two outcomes: "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are prices from a single observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they should not be read as a forecast of where BNB will move.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question: whether the time-weighted average price of BNB/USD over one five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window, as recorded by one named Chainlink data stream [1]. Because the outcome depends on that feed alone, the measurement is defined by the contract rules rather than by general market prices. Anyone reading the contract's price should keep in mind that it reflects a single snapshot and a single outcome pair, and that the window it covers is very short.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink-generated TWAP of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source does the contract use?
The stated resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is about the price in that feed and not other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the listed price show the chance that BNB rises?
No. The saved snapshot lists Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 at one observation time [1]. These are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
When does the market end?
The saved record gives a listed end time of 13:55 UTC on November 1, 2026, which corresponds to 8:55 AM ET in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.