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Events
GroupKALSHI

Will Legendary acquire Lionsgate?

Will Legendary acquire Lionsgate?
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As of Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 1, 2027 at 20%.

Kalshi

  1. Before Jan 1, 202720%
  2. Before Dec 15, 202614%
  3. Before Dec 1, 202610%
  4. Before Nov 16, 20266%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

4

Saved contracts

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Legendary - Lionsgate If Legendary announces an agreement to acquire Lionsgate before X Y Z then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control. This market will close and expire early if the acquisition is announced.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiTech
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

PM $1.66M · K 854.0K contracts

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028?

Related contracts

PM Yes 66.5%Rules differK Yes 72%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 35%Rules differK Yes 40%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.5%Rules differK Yes 34.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year?

Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year?

PM $187.7K · K 30.1K contracts

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

PM $3.33M · K 3.66M contracts

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Kalshi: Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

PM $32.1K · K 261.3K contracts

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle this year?

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle this year?

PM $12.2K · K 3.8K contracts

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Starbucks announce acquisition of Chipotle before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Which companies will be acquired this year?

Which companies will be acquired this year?

PM $18.42M · K 108.1K contracts

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Kalshi: Will any company announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

Kalshi: Will any company announce acquisition of Viking Therapeutics before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 10%Rules differK Yes 8.5%

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

Kalshi: Will any company announce acquisition of GitLab before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 7.8%Rules differK Yes 8.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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