XRP price on November 1?
PM $0
1
11
XRP price on November 1?
PM $0
1
11
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 1.30-1.40 at 51.5%.
Polymarket
- 1.30-1.4051.5%
- 1.20-1.3033%
- 1.40-1.5012%
- 1.10-1.203.3%
- 1.50-1.602.3%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks "XRP price on November 1?" and lists eleven bracket markets. Under the stated rules, a market resolves according to "the final 'Close' price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title" [1]. The source says other exchanges and trading pairs do not count: "this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. If a value falls exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the market "will resolve to the higher range bracket" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T17:00:00.000Z [1]. The rules describe the reference time as noon ET, so readers should rely on the rule text for the measurement point and treat the listed end time as the provider's recorded close.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-25T18:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-25T20:49:53Z [1]. These are historical snapshot values, not live quotes, and they do not show the current market.
Within this snapshot, the highest Yes prices were for the "between $1.30 and $1.40" bracket at 0.34 and the "between $1.20 and $1.30" bracket at 0.335 [1]. Several brackets were priced much lower, including "less than $0.90" and "greater than $1.80," each at 0.0195 [1]. The Yes prices across all eleven brackets add up to more than 1, so these values should not be read as calibrated probabilities. Each price is a single observed quote, not an executable price, and the dataset does not show trading volume or liquidity.
The sample is complete for this event: all eleven markets were included, and the record is not flagged as partial [1]. The source also notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices were set at these levels, and it does not show how many people traded or agree with them. It contains no information about the XRP price after the observation time, no news, and no track record for this provider. Differences in prices between brackets reflect the snapshot only and do not indicate an arbitrage opportunity. The final outcome depends on the Binance close described in the rules, which the evidence does not yet report.
References
- Polymarket: XRP price on November 1?. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract is a Polymarket event titled "XRP price on November 1?" in the crypto category. It asks what the price of XRP will be on the date named in the title, and it is split into several price-range markets. The event's rules state that it resolves according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for the XRP/USDT pair at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date in the title [1]. If the price does not fall within the relevant bracket, the market resolves to "No" [1]. The rules name Binance as the resolution source, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices shown on Binance's trading page with the 1 minute interval and candles selected [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the Binance XRP/USDT price, not the price on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. Anyone reading a price on another venue would therefore be looking at a different reference than the one this contract uses. The event's listed end time is 2026-11-01T17:00:00.000Z [1]. The rules describe the resolution time as noon Eastern, and the listed end time is the point at which the contract closes for trading. Those are distinct from the time the provider data was observed, which was 2026-10-25T18:00:06Z for the saved snapshot used here, and from the time this article's sources were retrieved. The XRP asset is associated with Ripple Labs, which Wikipedia describes as an American technology company that offers enterprise blockchain products on the XRP Ledger and other networks [2]. That background explains the asset's origin but does not bear on the November 1 price outcome.
Historical Context
Wikipedia states that Ripple Labs was founded in 2012 and is based in San Francisco, California. It was established as NewCoin in September 2012, renamed OpenCoin the following month, adopted the name Ripple Labs in 2013, and in October 2015 shortened its public-facing brand to Ripple [2]. This is historical background about the company. The supplied sources do not describe XRP's price history or recent market conditions, so this article does not characterize the price trend leading up to the contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single number: the Binance XRP/USDT close price for the one minute candle that ends at noon Eastern on November 1, 2026 [1]. Because the rules specify one exchange, one trading pair, one candle, and one time, the contract is narrower than a general question about XRP's value. The brackets divide that single reference price into ranges, and each range has its own Yes and No contract [1]. The rules also settle edge cases. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher range bracket [1]. This matters for any reading of bracket boundaries near a dollar value. The saved snapshot shows 11 brackets, all included in the sample, ranging from below $0.90 to above $1.80 [1]. At the observation time, the Yes price was 0.34 for the $1.30 to $1.40 bracket and 0.335 for the $1.20 to $1.30 bracket, while the other brackets were lower [1]. These are prices from a single snapshot. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the volume figures in the event describe trading activity rather than liquidity or the number of participants. Because all saved brackets are included, no omitted outcome exists in this sample, but the sample describes this saved event and does not establish that every possible price outcome has been listed.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which price determines whether this contract resolves Yes?
The rules use the final Close price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT at 12:00 ET on the date in the title [1]. Prices on other exchanges or trading pairs are not the reference [1].
What happens if the reported price falls exactly on a boundary between two brackets?
The market resolves to the higher range bracket [1].
What happens if the price does not fall within a bracket?
The rules state that the market resolves to "No" if the price does not meet the bracket condition [1]. The rules describe the resolution as "No" when the bracket is not met, so each bracket is a separate contract [1].
Do the listed prices show how likely each outcome is?
No. The listed prices are a snapshot taken at the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. The event's volume figures describe trading activity, not liquidity or the number of traders [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.