GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Argentina vs Switzerland: Assists

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Argentina vs Switzerland: Assists

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12 markets tracked

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists?

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Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Lionel Messi: 1+ assists?	Kalshi	28%
Julian Alvarez: 1+ assists?	Kalshi	16%
Enzo Fernandez: 1+ assists?	Kalshi	12%
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists?	Kalshi	11%
Lautaro Martinez: 1+ assists?	Kalshi	10%
Ruben Vargas: 1+ assists?	Kalshi	8%
Granit Xhaka: 1+ assists?	Kalshi	6%
Lionel Messi: 2+ assists?	Kalshi	6%
Breel Embolo: 1+ assists?	Kalshi	5%
Remo Freuler: 1+ assists?	Kalshi	5%
Manuel Akanji: 1+ assists?	Kalshi	2%
Julian Alvarez: 2+ assists?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

28%

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$0.00

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About This Event

ARG vs SUI (Jul 11) If X records at least 1 assist during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Argentina vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Argentina vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026. If a player

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Argentina vs Switzerland: Assists
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** ARG vs SUI (Jul 11)

If X records at least 1 assist during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Argentina vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Argentina vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026. If a player

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Ruben Vargas records at least 1 assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Argentina vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market ref"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Ruben Vargas: 1+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Remo Freuler: 1+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Manuel Akanji: 1+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Granit Xhaka: 1+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Breel Embolo: 1+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Lionel Messi: 2+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Lionel Messi: 1+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Lautaro Martinez: 1+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Julian Alvarez: 2+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Julian Alvarez: 1+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Enzo Fernandez: 1+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Argentina vs Switzerland: Assists

Volume$0.00

Markets12

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KALSHI

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

KALSHIOther

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists?

If Lionel Messi records at least 1 assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Argentina vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market ref

KALSHI

Julian Alvarez: 1+ assists?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

KALSHIOther

Julian Alvarez: 1+ assists?

If Julian Alvarez records at least 1 assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Argentina vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market r

KALSHI

Enzo Fernandez: 1+ assists?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHIOther

Enzo Fernandez: 1+ assists?

If Enzo Fernandez records at least 1 assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Argentina vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market r

KALSHI

Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHIOther

Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists?

If Alexis Mac Allister records at least 1 assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Argentina vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following mar

KALSHI

Lautaro Martinez: 1+ assists?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIOther

Lautaro Martinez: 1+ assists?

If Lautaro Martinez records at least 1 assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Argentina vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market

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Argentina vs Switzerland: Assists

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Lionel Messi: 1+ assists?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Argentina vs Switzerland: Assists

Markets (12)

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists?

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists?

Julian Alvarez: 1+ assists?

Julian Alvarez: 1+ assists?

Enzo Fernandez: 1+ assists?

Enzo Fernandez: 1+ assists?

Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists?

Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists?

Lautaro Martinez: 1+ assists?

Lautaro Martinez: 1+ assists?

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Lionel Messi: 1+ assists?

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Argentina vs Switzerland: Assists

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists?

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists?

Julian Alvarez: 1+ assists?

Julian Alvarez: 1+ assists?

Enzo Fernandez: 1+ assists?

Enzo Fernandez: 1+ assists?

Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists?

Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists?

Lautaro Martinez: 1+ assists?

Lautaro Martinez: 1+ assists?

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