Pro Football: Bijan Robinson 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns
PM $2.0K
1
5
Pro Football: Bijan Robinson 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns
PM $2.0K
1
5
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 4.5+ rushing TDs at 85.3%.
Polymarket
- 4.5+ rushing TDs85.3%
- 6.5+ rushing TDs82%
- 8.5+ rushing TDs58%
- 10.5+ rushing TDs30%
- 12.5+ rushing TDs13.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $2.0K
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing touchdowns Bijan Robinson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Bijan Robinson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Bijan Robinson recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The five contracts come from one Polymarket event and ask whether Bijan Robinson will record at least a given number of rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. The saved markets use the thresholds 4.5+, 6.5+, 8.5+, 10.5+, and 12.5+ [1]. A Yes resolution requires the count to "equal or exceeds the listed number" [1]. The market resolves to No if Robinson does not play in the regular season "for any reason" [1].
The rules also cover other outcomes. If the season is shortened or ends early, the result uses "available official data for completed games" [1]. If the season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the count cannot be determined, the market resolves to "50-50" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a provider field, not a stated game schedule.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T06:29:37.525Z [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. In each contract, the listed Yes and No prices sum to 1.00 [1].
Across the thresholds, the Yes price falls as the threshold rises: 0.855 for 4.5+, 0.825 for 6.5+, 0.635 for 8.5+, 0.300 for 10.5+, and 0.270 for 12.5+ [1]. Each contract is a different threshold, so the prices should be read one contract at a time rather than averaged into a single figure. The coverage record shows all five saved markets were included and no partial sample [1]. The evidence does not include trading volume, so it says nothing about liquidity.
Only one platform appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices sit at these levels. It contains no news about Robinson's health, roster position, or usage, and it does not show how many traders hold each view. The prices describe one moment and may have changed since 06:00 UTC on October 16, 2026. Resolution depends on official NFL information, although "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1]. Whether any contract resolves as written can only be determined after the season and the resolution process.
References
- Polymarket: Pro Football: Bijan Robinson 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract is a yes or no market on how many rushing touchdowns Bijan Robinson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The saved event lists five separate contracts, each with a different threshold: 4.5, 6.5, 8.5, 10.5 and 12.5 or more rushing touchdowns [1]. Each contract asks whether his total for the season will equal or exceed its listed number [1]. The event is framed around the NFL regular season, so the count depends on his regular season performance and not on playoff games or other competitions [1]. The contract rules say that if Robinson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the market resolves to No [1]. The rules also address shortened seasons, cancelled or postponed seasons, and cases where the count cannot be determined, as described under the contract rules below. As a background reference, Wikipedia describes Robinson as an American professional football running back for the Atlanta Falcons of the National Football League [2]. That description is historical background from the retrieved page and does not confirm his current roster status or playing status for the 2026-27 season.
Historical Context
Background sources describe Robinson's college career at Texas, where he won the Doak Walker Award and was a unanimous All-American in 2022. The Falcons selected him eighth overall in the 2023 NFL draft [2]. This history explains his professional background but does not establish his status for the 2026-27 season.
Why It Matters
The contracts measure a single statistic: the number of rushing touchdowns Robinson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. Because each contract uses a different threshold, the event lets people address whether he reaches a lower or higher count. The contract rules specify that the market resolves to Yes if his total equals or exceeds the listed number, and to No otherwise, with the NFL official information as the stated resolution source and a consensus of credible reporting permitted as well [1]. The contract rules also set a listed end time of January 27, 2027 at 04:59 UTC [1]. This is the end time written in the contract rules and is not an announced date for any game or event. The rules also refer to January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET as a cutoff for postponements that would lead to a 50-50 resolution if the season cannot be completed or the count cannot be determined [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts toward these contracts?
The contracts count rushing touchdowns Robinson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. The rules are written around that regular season timeframe [1].
What happens if Robinson does not play in the season?
The contract rules state that if Robinson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the market resolves to No [1].
What happens if the season is shortened or ends early?
The rules state that the outcome will be determined using available official data for completed games [1].
When would a contract resolve 50-50?
The rules say a contract resolves 50-50 if the regular season is cancelled, if it is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Robinson recorded within that timeframe [1].
What source is used to resolve the market?
The resolution source is official information from the NFL, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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