Napirko Oleh vs. Shcherbak Denys
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5
Napirko Oleh vs. Shcherbak Denys
PM $0
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5
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Napirko Oleh and Shcherbak Denys in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 23 at 8:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Napirko Oleh' if Napirko Oleh wins against Shcherbak Denys. This market will resolve to 'Shcherbak Denys' if Shcherbak Denys wins against Napirko Oleh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied event is a table tennis match between Napirko Oleh and Shcherbak Denys in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30PM ET [1]. The event page lists five Polymarket markets, and each one has different wording. The match-winner market resolves to the player who wins the match [1]. The total games markets (Over/Under 3.5 and Over/Under 4.5) and the two game handicap markets use different thresholds and spreads, so their prices answer different questions and should not be compared as if they were one measure.
The source sets several resolution rules. The market resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, or ends in a walkover [1]. If a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers," with a consensus of credible reporting as a fallback if final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T01:30:00Z [1]. This is a listed close time in the contract, not an announced event date and not a record of when the match was played.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-23T00:00:06Z. The source was retrieved at 2026-10-23T01:58:28Z [1]. These are historical records of the saved data. They do not show current prices.
In the saved snapshot, the match-winner contract lists Napirko Oleh at 0.26 and Shcherbak Denys at 0.74 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The two Over/Under 3.5 outcomes and the two Over/Under 4.5 outcomes are each listed at 0.5, and both game handicap markets also list each side at 0.5 [1]. Equal prices on a binary contract show only that the saved quotes were equal at that moment.
The coverage record shows all five saved markets for this one event, with no partial sample [1]. Because the data comes from one platform and one event, there is no cross-platform comparison here. The source also states that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices were where they were, and it does not include trading volume, the number of traders, or any news. It also does not show whether the match has started, been completed, or been resolved. Prices may have changed since the saved observation.
References
- Polymarket: Napirko Oleh vs. Shcherbak Denys. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract concerns a table tennis match between Oleh Napirko and Denys Shcherbak in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event, which was scheduled for October 22 at 9:30 PM ET [1]. The market's rules state that it resolves to the player who wins the match. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves to 50-50 [1]. The rules also cover unusual endings. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves to 50-50 [1]. For resolution, the primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics have not been published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The listed end time for the contract is October 30, 2026 at 1:30 AM UTC [1]. That is the listed end time in the contract information, not a confirmed date for any event. The saved snapshot shows five related contracts for this event. Besides the match winner market, these include total games over/under markets at 3.5 and 4.5 games, and two game handicap markets at plus or minus 1.5 games [1]. In the snapshot, the winner market shows Napirko Oleh at 0.26 and Shcherbak Denys at 0.74. The total games and handicap markets are each shown at 0.5 for both outcomes. These are prices observed at one moment, not executable quotes or measures of how likely either outcome is.
Why It Matters
The match winner contract measures which of the two named players wins the scheduled match, as defined by the contract rules and the official event statistics [1]. The other contracts in the saved event are tied to the same match but measure different things: the total number of games played relative to 3.5 or 4.5, and whether one player wins by a margin of 1.5 games [1]. Because each contract has its own rules and prices, they should be read separately rather than compared as one combined forecast.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is canceled and not played at all, the market resolves to 50-50. The same applies if the match ends in a tie, or if it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined [1].
What happens if a player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
How is the result confirmed?
The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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