Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026

Total Volume

$37.19K

Events

Markets

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Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026

Vol

$37.19K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $37.19K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $37.19K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Kalshi	38%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$37.19K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Patient Zero by Taylor Swift | 2026 If Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spends at least X week, s, at the #1 position on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified week count threshold is definitively reached or becomes impossible. This market will close and expire early if the specified week count threshold is definitively reached or becomes impossible.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Patient Zero by Taylor Swift | 2026

If Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spends at least X week, s, at the #1 position on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified week count threshold is definitively reached or becomes impossible. This market will close and expire early if the specified week count threshold is definitively reached or becomes impossible.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spends at least 4 week(s) at the #1 position on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified week count threshold is definitively reached or becomes impossible."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 2, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 2, 2027): Vol $14.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 2, 2027): Vol $20.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026

Volume$37.19K

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

If Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spends at least 2 week(s) at the #1 position on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified week count threshold is definitively reached or becomes impossible.

KALSHI

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

If Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spends at least 3 week(s) at the #1 position on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified week count threshold is definitively reached or becomes impossible.

KALSHI

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

If Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spends at least 4 week(s) at the #1 position on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specified week count threshold is definitively reached or becomes impossible.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

77¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/zQgLSq" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026"></iframe>

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Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026

Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026

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Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026

Markets (3)

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

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Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

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