ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket event, "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET" [1]. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T04:30:00.000Z [1]. The title's window ends at 12:30AM ET, so the reader should check the time zone conversion against the listed UTC value rather than assume they match. The contract's close time is not the same as its resolution. The evidence does not show when or how the market resolved, because the provider status is recorded only as "active" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the saved source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T07:00:03.107Z [1]. These are historical capture times. They do not describe conditions at the time you are reading this.
The saved prices are "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They do not show how much could be bought or sold, and they do not indicate what outcome is more likely. The evidence includes no volume figures, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity or trading activity.
The sample is complete for this provider event. The coverage record shows one market, with one included and no partial sample [1]. The saved sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1], but for a binary Up or Down contract, both outcomes are shown.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, and this summary does not infer a cause. It also does not provide other ZCash contracts, other time windows, or comparable markets from other platforms. Comparing this contract with a differently worded or differently timed contract would be misleading, even if the prices differ, because the rules, windows, and resolution sources may not match.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval Up or Down contract on the price of ZCash (ZEC) against the US dollar, listed on Polymarket. The contract's title specifies the window it covers: October 20, 12:25AM to 12:30AM ET. The provider lists the contract's end time as 2026-10-20T04:30:00.000Z [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The outcome therefore depends on how the average price over the window compares with the starting price, not on where the price ends the window. The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The provider states that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. This means a price shown on a different exchange or data feed would not determine the result under these rules. At the observation time recorded for this entry, the Up and Down outcomes were each shown at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one moment, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of either outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow, rule-defined comparison: whether the time-weighted average ZEC/USD price from the specified Chainlink data stream over the five-minute window in the title finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average over the window rather than a single trade, the result is less dependent on one moment's price. Because it uses one named data stream, the result depends on that feed and not on other exchanges. Readers comparing this contract with other ZEC markets should check each one's resolution source and time window, since the rules of different contracts can differ.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract compares the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the window in the title with the price at the beginning of that window. If the average is greater than or equal to the starting price, it resolves Up. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The provider states that prices from other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
What time window does the contract cover?
The title specifies October 20, 12:25AM to 12:30AM ET, and the provider lists the end time as 2026-10-20T04:30:00.000Z [1].
Do the listed prices show the likelihood of each outcome?
The recorded prices were 0.5 for both Up and Down at the observation time [1]. They are snapshots from a single moment and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.