Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET" [1]. Its rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot-price market or a different time window should note that the wording, the data source, and the averaging method all determine the outcome. Contracts that look similar may resolve differently.
The saved listed end time is 2026-10-20T01:10:00.000Z [1]. This is the provider's listed close time, not a confirmed resolution time. The contract's title refers to a window ending at 9:10PM ET on October 19, which corresponds to that listed end time.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record shows an observation time of 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z and a retrieval time of 2026-10-19T04:22:57Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation only. They are not live quotes and may not reflect current conditions.
At observation, the record shows "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are the only two outcomes in the saved record, and they sum to 1.000. The quoted prices are snapshots, not executable prices, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The provider's saved status for the event was "active" [1].
The sample covers one market from one event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because the sample is complete for this saved event, no outcomes are omitted. The saved record does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and this summary does not offer a reason.
What remains uncertain
The record does not show any trading activity, number of participants, or liquidity depth. Volume is not included in the evidence, so no conclusions about market depth can be drawn.
The prices were observed about 1 hour and 22 minutes before retrieval. The record does not include any later price. Anyone using these figures should check a current provider record before drawing conclusions about the market at a later time.
Because this snapshot contains only one contract, it cannot be compared with other platforms or other contracts for arbitrage purposes. Differences in wording, data source, or close time would prevent a direct comparison even if prices differed.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET," listed in the crypto category on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of HYPE/USD, as measured by a Chainlink time-weighted average price (TWAP) data stream, will finish the five-minute window at or above where it started. The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The measurement source is specific. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink, and the rules state that the contract concerns the price in that stream only, not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. A movement on a different exchange or in a different data feed would not, under these rules, settle the contract. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T01:10:00Z, which matches 9:10 PM ET on October 19 as written in the title [1]. The provider status at the time of the saved record was active [1]. That means the window had not closed when the information was retrieved, and the record does not show a final result.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a short-term average price of HYPE, Hyperliquid's token, is higher at the end of a five-minute window than at its start, using one named Chainlink data stream as the arbiter [1]. Because the outcome depends on the TWAP rather than a single closing print, the result reflects the average across the window compared with the opening reference level. Anyone reading the contract should check the exact stream named in the rules, since the rules exclude other sources [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of HYPE, generated by Chainlink, over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Do prices on other exchanges or spot markets affect the outcome?
No. The rules state that the market is about the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for the HYPE/USD pair, not according to any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T01:10:00Z, which corresponds to 9:10 PM ET on October 19 as shown in the title [1]. A listed end time shows when the window closes under the rules; it does not by itself show how the contract resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.