Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract, "Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET," is listed in the Crypto category [1]. The saved rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range." Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The named resolution source is the ETH/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T11:45:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's listed close in the record. The excerpt does not report a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-27T13:23:29.881Z [1]. These times describe only this saved snapshot, not current conditions. The source lists the provider status as active [1]. The saved prices are 0.505 for Up and 0.495 for Down [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. In this record the two prices sum to 1.000. The sample contains one market for this event, so there is no second contract in the record to compare with it.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did at the observation time. It also does not report trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants. The coverage record shows one total market and one included market, with no partial sample flag [1]. However, the sample warning states that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because the snapshot is from a earlier time than the retrieval, readers should not treat these prices as a live reading. Anyone relying on the contract terms should check the provider's current listing and rules.
References
- Polymarket: Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto price contract titled "Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET", listed on Polymarket [1]. The contract compares two prices over a five-minute window. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink. The rules specify the ETH/USD TWAP data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the Chainlink TWAP data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. A contract that refers to a different feed or exchange price could therefore settle differently, so the wording of the specific contract matters. The listed end time in the saved provider record is 2026-10-28T11:45:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time as listed by the provider. The rules describe how the outcome is determined, but the saved record does not describe any further resolution steps. The saved snapshot of this contract was observed at 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z and retrieved at 2026-10-27T13:23:29.895Z [1]. At that observation, the saved market showed "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the saved record, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because this contract has two outcomes and the saved sample includes all of its markets, neither outcome is missing from the record.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ETH/USD TWAP over the specified five-minute window, from 7:40 to 7:45 AM ET, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on a time-weighted average over the window compared with a starting reference, it does not simply ask whether the price is higher at the end than at the start. The rules limit the reference to the Chainlink data stream, so other spot prices or exchanges are not part of the outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the "Up" outcome mean in this contract?
According to the rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of Ethereum from Chainlink over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What data source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used for this market [1].
When does this contract end?
The saved provider record lists the end time as 2026-10-28T11:45:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed closing time in the record, not a separate announcement of when a result will be published.
Does the saved price show the chance that Ethereum rises?
The saved prices were Up 0.505 and Down 0.495 at the observation time [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider record. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
PM $0Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
PM $0Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
PM $0Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
PM $0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.