GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Pro Baseball: Cycles

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Pro Baseball: Cycles

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Polymarket

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6 markets tracked

Will all hitters combined record 2+ cycles?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will all hitters combined record 2+ cycles?	Kalshi	99%
Will all hitters combined record 3+ cycles?	Kalshi	82%
Will all hitters combined record 4+ cycles?	Kalshi	53%
Will all hitters combined record 5+ cycles?	Kalshi	32%
Will all hitters combined record 6+ cycles?	Kalshi	16%
Will all hitters combined record 7+ cycles?	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

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About This Event

2026 Cycles If all hitters combined record X cycles across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season, regular season and playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. X cycle occurs when a single player records a single, double, triple, and home run in the same game. The hits may occur in any order, but all four types of hits must be recorded by the same player during the same game. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pro Baseball: Cycles
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 Cycles

If all hitters combined record X cycles across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season, regular season and playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. X cycle occurs when a single player records a single, double, triple, and home run in the same game. The hits may occur in any order, but all four types of hits must be recorded by the same player during the same game. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If all hitters combined record 7+ cycles across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A cycle occurs when a single player records a single, double, triple, and home run in the same game. The hits may occur in an"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will all hitters combined record 7+ cycles?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will all hitters combined record 6+ cycles?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will all hitters combined record 5+ cycles?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will all hitters combined record 4+ cycles?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will all hitters combined record 3+ cycles?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will all hitters combined record 2+ cycles?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Pro Baseball: Cycles

Volume$0.00

Markets6

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KALSHI

Will all hitters combined record 2+ cycles?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will all hitters combined record 2+ cycles?

If all hitters combined record 2+ cycles across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A cycle occurs when a single player records a single, double, triple, and home run in the same game. The hits may occur in an

KALSHI

Will all hitters combined record 3+ cycles?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will all hitters combined record 3+ cycles?

If all hitters combined record 3+ cycles across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A cycle occurs when a single player records a single, double, triple, and home run in the same game. The hits may occur in an

KALSHI

Will all hitters combined record 4+ cycles?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will all hitters combined record 4+ cycles?

If all hitters combined record 4+ cycles across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A cycle occurs when a single player records a single, double, triple, and home run in the same game. The hits may occur in an

KALSHI

Will all hitters combined record 5+ cycles?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will all hitters combined record 5+ cycles?

If all hitters combined record 5+ cycles across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A cycle occurs when a single player records a single, double, triple, and home run in the same game. The hits may occur in an

KALSHI

Will all hitters combined record 6+ cycles?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will all hitters combined record 6+ cycles?

If all hitters combined record 6+ cycles across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A cycle occurs when a single player records a single, double, triple, and home run in the same game. The hits may occur in an

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Will all hitters combined record 2+ cycles?

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Events (1)

Pro Baseball: Cycles

Markets (6)

Will all hitters combined record 2+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 2+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 3+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 3+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 4+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 4+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 5+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 5+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 6+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 6+ cycles?

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Will all hitters combined record 2+ cycles?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Pro Baseball: Cycles

Will all hitters combined record 2+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 2+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 3+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 3+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 4+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 4+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 5+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 5+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 6+ cycles?

Will all hitters combined record 6+ cycles?

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