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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Pro Football: Kyle Pitts 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns

Pro Football: Kyle Pitts 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns
Vol

PM $3.2K

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Events

1

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Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 4.5+ receiving TDs at 73%.

Polymarket

  1. 4.5+ receiving TDs73%
  2. 6.5+ receiving TDs51%
  3. 8.5+ receiving TDs18.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $3.2K

Reported volume ยท provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Kyle Pitts records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Kyle Pitts does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Kyle Pitts recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event groups four Polymarket contracts on Kyle Pitts's receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Each contract asks whether he will reach a listed threshold: 2.5+, 4.5+, 6.5+, or 8.5+ touchdowns. The rules state that a market "will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Kyle Pitts records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number" [1]. If he does not play in the season for any reason, the market resolves to "No" [1].

The rules also cover disruption. If the season is shortened or ends early, the outcome is based on available official data for completed games. If the season is cancelled, or is postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the count cannot be determined, the market resolves to "50-50" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That is a contract closing time, not a date when any football event is scheduled.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z, and the retrieval time is 2026-10-16T06:07:31.590Z. These prices describe that moment only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The quoted Yes prices are 0.71 for 2.5+, 0.245 for 6.5+, 0.225 for 4.5+, and 0.135 for 8.5+ [1]. Because the thresholds are different contracts, their prices should not be combined or averaged. The 6.5+ Yes price is slightly higher than the 4.5+ Yes price in this snapshot. The excerpt does not explain that ordering, and it does not show whether it persists. Differences like this should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity without checking executable prices, fees, and rules.

The coverage record shows four of four markets included, with no partial sample [1]. The sample warning still says the listed markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1].

What remains uncertain

The excerpt does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of traders, so the prices cannot be read as measures of depth or consensus. It also contains no information on Kyle Pitts's roster status, injuries, or other news, and no explanation for why prices are where they are.

The contract rules mention official NFL information as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting possibly used as well [1]. The actual outcome is not in the evidence, and these prices cannot tell you how the season will end.

References

  1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Kyle Pitts 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "Pro Football: Kyle Pitts 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns." The event groups contracts that ask whether Kyle Pitts will record at least a given number of receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The provider's rules say a market resolves to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Pitts records during that regular season equals or exceeds the listed threshold, and to "No" otherwise [1]. The saved event includes four contracts with thresholds of 2.5+, 4.5+, 6.5+, and 8.5+ receiving touchdowns [1]. The rules also set out several special cases. If Pitts does not play in the 2026-27 regular season for any reason, the market resolves to "No" [1]. If the regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early, the outcome is to be determined from available official data for completed games [1]. If the season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Pitts recorded in that timeframe, the market resolves to "50-50" [1]. The provider names official NFL information as the resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The listed end time for these contracts is 2027-01-27 at 04:59 UTC [1]. That date is the contract's stated closing time under its rules, not an announced date for any game or event. The regular-season rules and the listed end time are the parts of the contract that define when and how it settles.

Historical Context

The supplied background does not describe Kyle Pitts's career or his receiving history, so no player history is given here. The only related historical material concerns the NFL in general. The 2024 NFL season was the 105th season of the league, began on September 5, 2024, and its regular season concluded on January 5, 2025 [3]. That article describes a previous season and does not describe the 2026-27 season covered by this contract.

Why It Matters

The contracts measure one thing: how many receiving touchdowns Kyle Pitts records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, as counted against each listed threshold [1]. Because each contract is a separate threshold, the four prices in this event describe different questions about the same count rather than four separate outcomes. The rules treat a missed season as a "No" result and set a 50-50 outcome for cancellation or postponement beyond the stated date, so the settlement depends on both on-field participation and the timing of the season [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the "Yes" outcome require?

A "Yes" outcome requires that the number of receiving touchdowns Kyle Pitts records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the threshold in the specific contract [1].

What happens if Kyle Pitts does not play during the regular season?

Under the provider's rules, if Pitts does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the market resolves to "No" [1].

What happens if the season is shortened or ends early?

The rules state that the outcome will be determined using available official data for completed games [1].

When would a contract resolve 50-50?

The rules state that a market resolves to "50-50" if the regular season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Pitts recorded within that timeframe [1].

What source is used to settle these contracts?

The provider names official information from the NFL as the resolution source, and says a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].

What do the prices in the saved event show?

The saved snapshot, observed at 2026-10-16 06:00 UTC, lists a Yes price of 0.71 for 2.5+ touchdowns, 0.245 for 6.5+, 0.225 for 4.5+, and 0.135 for 8.5+ [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The 4.5+ price is lower than the 6.5+ price in this snapshot, and the saved sources do not explain why.

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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