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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Who will be on the Vogue Best Dressed list?

Name: Who will be on the Vogue Best Dressed list?
End: 2026-05-04T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.04K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will be on the Vogue Best Dressed list?

Vol

$1.04K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.04K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.04K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

31 markets tracked

Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(31)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	88%
Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	88%
Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	82%
Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	81%
Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	68%
Will Gwendoline Christie be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	50%
Will Emma Chamberlain be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	49%
Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	49%
Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	45%
Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	40%
Will A$AP Rocky be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	39%
Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	38%
Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	37%
Will Chappell Roan be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	37%
Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	35%
Will Travis Kelce be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	32%
Will Sam Smith be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	28%
Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	28%
Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	28%
Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	28%
Will Timothée Chalamet be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	28%
Will Jay-Z be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	28%
Will Kim Kardashian be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	28%
Will Alex Consani be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	27%
Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	26%
Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	26%
Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	26%
Will Kendall Jenner be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	26%
Will Cardi B be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	25%
Will Dakota Johnson be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	25%
Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Poly	22%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$1.04K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled to occur on May 4, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes' if the listed individual appears on Vogue's list of Best Dressed Stars from the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to Vogue's list of the Best Dressed Stars at the 2026 Met Gala. A qualifying list must be understood to be the 2026 equivalent list of the following articles, but need not be explicitly titled "The Best Dressed Stars From the 2026 Me

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be on the Vogue Best Dressed list?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 4, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled to occur on May 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes' if the listed individual appears on Vogue's list of Best Dressed Stars from the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to Vogue's list of the Best Dressed Stars at the 2026 Met Gala. A qualifying list must be understood to be the 2026 equivalent list of the following articles, but need not be explicitly titled "The Best Dressed Stars From the 2026 Me

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled to occur on May 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes' if the listed individual appears on Vogue's list of Best Dressed Stars from the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to Vogue's list of the Best Dress"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.67)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $65
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Alex Consani be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $48
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $272
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Travis Kelce be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Timothée Chalamet be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Dakota Johnson be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Chappell Roan be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $45
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Gwendoline Christie be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Kendall Jenner be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Emma Chamberlain be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will A$AP Rocky be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Jay-Z be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Kim Kardashian be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Cardi B be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Sam Smith be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture