BNB Up or Down - October 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers "BNB Up or Down - October 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET" on Polymarket [1]. Its rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. A tie at the start price therefore resolves Up.
The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A price on another exchange or data feed would not determine this contract, so it should not be compared as if it measured the same thing.
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:55:00.000Z [1]. The title's window is expressed in ET, so readers should confirm how the UTC timestamp maps to the stated window before relying on it.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:39:15.450Z. The provider status was recorded as active [1]. These are historical observation and retrieval times, not a live reading, and the prices may have changed since.
The snapshot shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, but the sample cannot show how a trade would fill, what spread applies, or how much could be traded at these levels.
The evidence covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. This is a complete record of the saved event, but it does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for this timeframe. No comparison with other events or platforms is supported here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the price at the start of the window, the TWAP during the window, or the final resolution. The outcome cannot be determined from this snapshot. Volume and trader activity are not part of the supplied data, so no conclusions about liquidity or market participation can be drawn. The evidence also does not explain why prices stood where they did at the observation time.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval crypto contract on Polymarket titled "BNB Up or Down - October 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET." The contract asks whether the price of BNB, measured against U.S. dollars, will finish the five-minute window higher or lower than it started. The contract is listed in the Crypto category [1]. The resolution rule uses a time-weighted average price (TWAP), not a single spot price. The contract resolves to "Up" if the TWAP over the stated time range is at or above the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. Because of this, a move on another exchange or in a spot chart does not by itself determine the outcome. The listed end time of the contract is 2026-10-20T05:55:00Z, which corresponds to the end of the 1:55 AM ET window in the title [1]. This is the contract's closing time. It is not a record of how the market resolved, and the supplied material does not include a resolution result. At the observation time recorded for this entry, the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from a single listed market. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The price for the window will change as trading continues until the contract closes.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether BNB's Chainlink TWAP over a specific five-minute window ends at or above its starting level. It is a narrow, time-bound question about one data stream. Because the rule relies on a TWAP rather than a closing spot price, the average over the window can differ from the price at the start, and the outcome depends on that averaged measure [1]. Anyone reading the contract's price should note that it reflects trading in this one listed market at one observed time, with the rules defined by the Chainlink data stream [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Up outcome require?
The Up outcome requires the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the stated time range to be greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Is this contract based on the spot price of BNB?
No. The contract states that it concerns the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for BNB/USD, not other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the listed price show the chance that Up will win?
Not as a verified probability. The recorded prices of 0.505 for Up and 0.495 for Down are snapshot prices at one observation time and are not executable quotes [1].
When does this contract close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:55:00Z, which matches the end of the 1:50 to 1:55 AM ET window in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.