HYPE Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET
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HYPE Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket contract, "HYPE Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET" [1]. The rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title." Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Binance's HYPE/USDT pair, and the source states that "this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. A price on another exchange or pair would not settle this contract.
The listed end time is 2026-10-22T09:00:00.000Z [1]. The title's clock reference is 4AM ET, so a reader should check how the two times relate before comparing them. The evidence does not explain that difference, and the listed end time is not a resolution date announcement.
Reading the snapshot
The market was observed at 2026-10-21T12:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-21T14:34:43Z [1]. Those are different times, and the prices describe the earlier observation, not the retrieval moment or the present. The saved prices were "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1].
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They show what the provider reported at one moment. The evidence does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about how liquid the market was or how many participants held each view.
The sample is complete for this provider event. The coverage record lists one market, with one included and no partial sample [1]. The saved event itself is the only comparison set, so no other platform's prices should be combined with these figures.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why the prices were at 0.5, whether they have changed since observation, or what the candle's open and close will be. It also does not show the current state of the Binance pair. Because the rules depend on a finalized candle, the outcome cannot be read from this snapshot. The sample warning notes that the providers' listings do not establish every possible real-world outcome, though this binary contract lists only "Up" and "Down" [1].
References
- Polymarket: HYPE Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-horizon crypto contract on the HYPE/USDT pair, titled 'HYPE Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET'. It asks whether the price of HYPE on Binance will rise or fall over one specific one-hour candle. According to the contract rules, the market resolves to Up if the close price of that candle is greater than or equal to its open price, and to Down otherwise [1]. The rules state that the close and open are read from the 1H candle shown on the Binance chart once that candle's data is finalized [1]. The contract is narrow in scope. The rules specify that it concerns the price on Binance HYPE/USDT, not prices on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. A movement on another venue therefore does not determine the outcome under these rules. The listed end time in the saved provider record is 2026-10-22T09:00:00.000Z, and the provider status is recorded as active [1]. That end time is the listed close for the contract and should not be read as a separate announced event. The saved market has two outcomes, Up and Down [1]. Because the contract covers one candle, its outcome depends entirely on the open and close of that period, not on any longer trend in HYPE.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of HYPE's price over a single hour on one exchange. Its resolution rule is mechanical: the candle's close is compared with its open, and equal values count as Up [1]. Because the rule names Binance as the resolution source and specifies the HYPE/USDT pair [1], the result is tied to that exchange's data rather than a broader assessment of the asset. The saved prices for the two outcomes are snapshots of market activity at a recorded time and are not executable quotes [1]. Readers should treat them as a record of what the market showed at that moment, not as a confirmed probability of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-21 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves to Up if the close price of the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title is greater than or equal to its open price. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which exchange's prices are used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair. The rules state that prices on other exchanges or trading pairs are not used [1].
When are the open and close values taken?
The open and close shown at the top of the Binance graph for the relevant 1H candle are used once the data for that candle is finalized [1]. The saved record lists an end time of 2026-10-22T09:00:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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