Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?

Total Volume

$3.72K

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Markets

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Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.72K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.72K

100%

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1 market tracked

Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

20%

Top Probability

$3.72K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If Kanye West / Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, official muni

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If Kanye West / Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, official muni

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Kanye West / Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the pe"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

20¢

Kalshi

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Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?

Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?

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Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)