Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?

Total Volume

$8.08K

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How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?

Vol

$8.08K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $8.08K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.08K

100%

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8 markets tracked

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?	Kalshi	91%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,000?	Kalshi	86%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,500?	Kalshi	75%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,000?	Kalshi	68%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,500?	Kalshi	64%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 4,000?	Kalshi	47%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 4,500?	Kalshi	28%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 5,000?	Kalshi	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$8.08K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 - Directional If the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the composite Shanghai Containerized Freight Index, SCFI, published by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange. For purposes of this market, the applicable value is the composite SCFI value contained in the final publication designated for calendar year 2026. The Shanghai Shipping Exchange currently schedu

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 - Directional

If the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the composite Shanghai Containerized Freight Index, SCFI, published by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange. For purposes of this market, the applicable value is the composite SCFI value contained in the final publication designated for calendar year 2026. The Shanghai Shipping Exchange currently schedu

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 is above 5,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the composite Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI), published by the Shanghai Shipping Ex"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 5,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 4,500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 4,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $808
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $824
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $242
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $146
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $328
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?

Volume$8.08K

Markets8

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KALSHI

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?

If the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 is above 1,500, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the composite Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI), published by the Shanghai Shipping Ex

KALSHI

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,000?

If the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 is above 2,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the composite Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI), published by the Shanghai Shipping Ex

KALSHI

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,500?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,500?

If the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 is above 2,500, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the composite Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI), published by the Shanghai Shipping Ex

KALSHI

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.0¢No 32.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,000?

If the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 is above 3,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the composite Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI), published by the Shanghai Shipping Ex

KALSHI

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,500?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.0¢No 36.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,500?

If the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 is above 3,500, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the composite Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI), published by the Shanghai Shipping Ex

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60¢

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How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?

How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?

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Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?

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Events (1)

How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?

Markets (8)

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,000?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,000?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,500?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,500?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,000?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,000?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,500?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,500?

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Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,000?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,000?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,500?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,500?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,000?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,000?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,500?

Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 3,500?

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