Bitcoin price on November 15?
PM $97.0K
1
11
PM $97.0K
1
11
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 15, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is <66,000 at 84%.
Polymarket
- <66,00084%
- 66,000-68,00013.9%
- 68,000-70,0002.6%
- 70,000-72,0000.4%
- 72,000-74,0000.1%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $97.0K
Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Snapshot observed Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks what the price of Bitcoin will be on November 15, 2026. According to the provider's rules, it resolves using "the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title" [1]. The market is about Binance's BTC/USDT price specifically, "not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1].
The event is split into price ranges, and each range is its own yes or no contract. The rules also state that "If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket" [1]. The listed end time is 17:00 UTC on November 15, 2026 [1]. That end time is the scheduled close of the contract, not a record of how it resolved. The evidence does not include a resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The data was observed at 06:00 UTC on November 15, 2026, and retrieved at 06:37 UTC that day [1]. It describes prices at that moment only.
At that observation time, the Yes price for "less than $66,000" was 0.8755, the highest of the eleven contracts [1]. The "between $66,000 and $68,000" contract was 0.0945, and the "between $68,000 and $70,000" contract was 0.021 [1]. The remaining brackets were priced at or below 0.006 [1]. Prices are snapshots, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample includes all eleven markets in this Polymarket event, and the evidence states that it is not partial [1]. Because the ladder covers every bracket from below $66,000 to above $84,000, the sample is complete for this event. It still does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome. The reported volume of $91,901 is Polymarket's total for this event, in US dollars [1]. Volume is not liquidity, and it does not tell us how many traders took part.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices were where they were, and this explanation does not attempt to. It contains no current news, no trader count, and no measure of forecasting accuracy. Only one platform is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Different contracts with different prices are not an arbitrage opportunity by themselves, since prices here are snapshots and not executable quotes. Anyone reading this later should check the current contract status and close time directly, because this snapshot reflects only the moment it was observed.
References
- Polymarket: Bitcoin price on November 15?. Provider data observed Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC.
Snapshot observed Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket event, "Bitcoin price on November 15?" The event contains 11 bracket contracts, each asking whether Bitcoin's price will fall in a given range on November 15. [1] Resolution depends on the final "Close" price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET on the date in the title. [1] The source states that the market will resolve to "No" otherwise, and that if a value falls exactly between two brackets, it resolves to the higher bracket. [1] It also specifies that the market concerns Binance BTC/USDT, "not according to other exchanges or trading pairs." [1]
The listed end time is Nov 15, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC. [1] That is the contract close time, not the moment the price is measured, and it should not be read as an announced event.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these markets at 06:00:06 UTC on 2026-11-15, and this record was retrieved at 06:37:17 UTC the same day. These are saved prices, not live quotes or executable prices, and they should not be treated as verified probabilities.
The "Yes" prices show the market's ranking of outcomes at observation time. The "less than $66,000" bracket was priced at 0.8755, the "$66,000 to $68,000" bracket at 0.0945, and the "$68,000 to $70,000" bracket at 0.021. [1] The remaining brackets were priced between 0.0005 and 0.006. [1] The "Yes" prices across all brackets sum to roughly 1.004 in this snapshot, so the figures are not exact probabilities.
The source reports Polymarket volume of $91,901 for this event, in US dollars. [1] Volume reflects trading activity for this event only. It is not a measure of liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The sample includes all 11 saved markets for this event (partialSample is false), but the record does not establish that these brackets cover every possible outcome. [1] No other platform is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible here, and differing prices across contracts should not be read as an opportunity.
The record does not explain why prices are where they are, and it contains no news or context about Bitcoin's price. The snapshot reflects only the moment it was observed. Prices may have changed since 06:00 UTC, and this record cannot show current conditions.
References
- Polymarket: Bitcoin price on November 15?. Provider data observed Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract asks whether the price of bitcoin will fall into a specific range on November 15, 2026. The event is titled "Bitcoin price on November 15?" and is listed on Polymarket [1]. Each bracket is a separate yes or no contract, so the event is a set of price-range questions rather than a single forecast. The contract rules tie the outcome to one exchange and one moment. The market resolves according to the final "Close" price of the Binance one-minute candle for BTC/USDT at noon Eastern time on the date in the title. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the rules say the market resolves to the higher bracket. The rules also state that the market concerns Binance BTC/USDT only, not other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. The saved event lists an end time of 17:00 UTC on November 15, 2026, and all of its markets are shown as active [1]. The prices in this snapshot were observed at 06:00 UTC on November 15, 2026. They are indicative figures from that moment, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. For example, the bracket asking whether bitcoin will be less than $66,000 was priced at 0.8755 for Yes at the observation time [1]. Volume reported by Polymarket for this event is a platform total in US dollars. It describes trading activity on that event, not the depth of the order book or the number of participants. Because the contract depends on a single Binance candle, the close at noon Eastern time is what counts. Price moves before or after that minute do not change the rule-based outcome, even though they may affect the prices shown on the market page.
Historical Context
Bitcoin is described as the first decentralized cryptocurrency. It was invented in 2008, when a white paper was published under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto, and its use as a currency began in 2009 with the release of its open-source implementation [3]. Over time it has grown into a significant store of value both on and offline. From the mid-2010s, some businesses began accepting it alongside traditional currencies [2]. Wikipedia pages describe this history but do not establish current prices or events, so the price context for November 15, 2026 comes only from the contract data above.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single number: the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute closing price at noon Eastern time on November 15, 2026 [1]. That makes it a narrow test of where one trading pair closes at one minute, not a general measure of the bitcoin market. Traders reading the bracket prices should keep in mind that the rules name Binance specifically, so prices on other venues do not determine the result [1]. The tie rule, which sends an exact boundary value to the higher bracket, is also part of how the contract resolves [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-15 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which price decides the outcome?
The outcome is decided by the final Close price of the Binance one-minute candle for BTC/USDT at noon Eastern time on the date in the title. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are not used [1].
What happens if the price lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets?
The rules say the market resolves to the higher range bracket in that case [1].
Do the prices on the market page show what the outcome will be?
No. The prices are snapshots taken at a specific observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The contract resolves on the Binance close at the stated time, not on the prices shown earlier [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.