Politics prediction markets
6,943 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 4,993-5,040 of 6,943 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?
K 1.3K contractsWill Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) before 2027 be above 20 Billion?Yes 22.5%
Will Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) before 2027 be above 25 Billion?Yes 15.5%
Will Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) before 2027 be above 30 Billion?Yes 11.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 5th District margin of victory
K 1.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 5th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 55%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-05 House election: Christopher Mitchell vote percent
K 1.3K contractsWill Christopher Mitchell receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-05 House election?Yes 50%
Will Christopher Mitchell receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-05 House election?Yes 16%
Will Christopher Mitchell receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-05 House election?Yes 6.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 6th District margin of victory
K 1.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 71.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 59.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-13 House election: Jasmine Clark vote percent (1st Round)
K 1.3K contractsWill Jasmine Clark receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-13 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jasmine Clark receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-13 House election?Yes 97%
Will Jasmine Clark receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-13 House election?Yes 95.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota margin of victory
K 1.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 90.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Dakota House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California 40 House General Election: voter turnout
K 1.3K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 40 House General Election be above 140000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 40 House General Election be above 160000?Yes 94%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 40 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 76.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-16 House election: Sydney Gruters vote percent
K 1.3K contractsWill Sydney Gruters receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-16 House election?Yes 96%
Will Sydney Gruters receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-16 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Sydney Gruters receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-16 House election?Yes 78.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
K 1.3K contractsWill the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties be at least 1 2026 midterms?Yes 96.5%
Will the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties be at least 2 2026 midterms?Yes 96%
Will the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties be at least 3 2026 midterms?Yes 91%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 10th District margin of victory
K 1.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 10th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 72%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 10th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 56%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 10th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 39%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election winner?
K 1.3K contractsWill Chloe Foster win the 2026 Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election?Yes 42.5%
Will Dillon Roberts win the 2026 Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election?Yes 28%
Will Michael Johnstone win the 2026 Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?
K 1.3K contractsWill the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 93%
Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 2.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 78.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Virginia's 5th District margin of victory
K 1.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 51%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IN-02 House election: Jamee Decio vote percent
K 1.3K contractsWill Jamee Decio receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-02 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Jamee Decio receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-02 House election?Yes 83.5%
Will Jamee Decio receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-02 House election?Yes 70.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey's 9th District margin of victory
K 1.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 9th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 92.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 9th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 9th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 6th District margin of victory
K 1.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 6th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Offensive Player of the Year Finalists
K 1.3K contractsWill Jahmyr Gibbs be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Offensive Player of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 51%
Will Puka Nacua be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Offensive Player of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 44.5%
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Offensive Player of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 44.5%
+40 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television
K 1.3K contractsWill Sally Field be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 75.5%
Will Florence Pugh be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 75.5%
Will Carey Mulligan be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 65%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)
K 1.3K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Arkansas?Yes 93.5%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Arkansas?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 1.3K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts Senate General Election be above 2000000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts Senate General Election be above 2200000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts Senate General Election be above 2400000?Yes 73.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York 12 House General Election: voter turnout
K 1.3K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New York 12 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New York 12 House General Election be above 185000?Yes 93%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New York 12 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 84%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Mississippi's 2nd District margin of victory
K 1.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?
K 1.3K contractsWill John Thune announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 89%
Will Rick Scott announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will John Barrasso announce a run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Truths will Trump delete in Oct 2026?
K 1.3K contractsWill the number of Trump Truths deleted in Oct 2026 be at least 5?Yes 59.5%
Will the number of Trump Truths deleted in Oct 2026 be at least 10?Yes 22.5%
Will the number of Trump Truths deleted in Oct 2026 be at least 15?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska Senate margin of victory
K 1.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Dan Osborn in the Nebraska Senate election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 23.5%
Will the margin of victory for Dan Osborn in the Nebraska Senate election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 13.5%
Will the margin of victory for Dan Osborn in the Nebraska Senate election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 4.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-01 House election: Barbara Kahl vote percent
K 1.3K contractsWill Barbara Kahl receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-01 House election?Yes 97%
Will Barbara Kahl receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-01 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Barbara Kahl receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-01 House election?Yes 87%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 1.3K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Connecticut Governor General Election be above 1000000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Connecticut Governor General Election be above 1090000?Yes 84.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Connecticut Governor General Election be above 1180000?Yes 68%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina's 7th District margin of victory
K 1.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 7th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 7th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 89.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 7th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 82%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?
K 1.3K contractsWill legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-02 House election: Andrew Garbarino vote percent
K 1.3K contractsWill Andrew Garbarino receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-02 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Andrew Garbarino receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-02 House election?Yes 91%
Will Andrew Garbarino receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-02 House election?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 1.3K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Colorado Governor General Election be above 2000000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Colorado Governor General Election be above 2300000?Yes 78.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Colorado Governor General Election be above 2500000?Yes 61.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee Governor margin of victory
K 1.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 94%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 82%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-11 House election: Lloyd Smucker vote percent
K 1.3K contractsWill Lloyd Smucker receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-11 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Lloyd Smucker receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-11 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Lloyd Smucker receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-11 House election?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Mastercard say during their next earnings call?
K 1.3K contractsWhat will Mastercard Incorporated say during their next earnings call? (Stablecoin)Yes 93.5%
What will Mastercard Incorporated say during their next earnings call? (Tokenized / Tokenization)Yes 89%
What will Mastercard Incorporated say during their next earnings call? (International)Yes 89%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AR-01 House election: Rick Crawford vote percent
K 1.3K contractsWill Rick Crawford receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-01 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Rick Crawford receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-01 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Rick Crawford receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-01 House election?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-02 House winner?
K 1.3K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-02?Yes 98.4%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-02?Yes 0.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oklahoma Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 1.3K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma Governor General Election be above 970000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma Governor General Election be above 1030000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma Governor General Election be above 1090000?Yes 85.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many teams will rank #1 on the College Football AP Poll this season?
K 1.2K contracts4+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football seasonYes 55%
5+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football seasonYes 49.5%
6+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football seasonYes 13%
3 mktsNext deadline Feb 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
German presidential election winner?
K 1.2K contractsWill Ilse Aigner win the 2027 German presidential election?Yes 50%
Will Karin Prien win the 2027 German presidential election?Yes 17%
Will Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer win the 2027 German presidential election?Yes 13%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-12 House election: Caroline Shinkle vote percent
K 1.2K contractsWill Caroline Shinkle receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Caroline Shinkle receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Caroline Shinkle receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 97.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MA-02 House winner?
K 1.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MA-02?Yes 96.9%
Will Republican win the House race for MA-02?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will a reconciliation bill become law?
K 1.2K contractsWill a reconciliation bill become law before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 39%
Will a reconciliation bill become law before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 31%
Will a reconciliation bill become law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 30%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-02 House election: Sanford Bishop vote percent (1st Round)
K 1.2K contractsWill Sanford Bishop receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-02 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Sanford Bishop receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-02 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Sanford Bishop receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-02 House election?Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WA-10 House winner?
K 1.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for WA-10?Yes 96.8%
Will Republican win the House race for WA-10?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?
K 1.2K contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Winston R. Anderson and Christopher M. Sulyma in Anderson v. Intel Corp. Investment Policy CommitteeYes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 5th District margin of victory
K 1.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 5th District House election be at least 59 percentage points?Yes 96.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 5th District House election be at least 62 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 5th District House election be at least 65 percentage points?Yes 92%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-07 House election: Chad Koppie vote percent
K 1.2K contractsWill Chad Koppie receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-07 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Chad Koppie receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-07 House election?Yes 90%
Will Chad Koppie receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-07 House election?Yes 72.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Senate election: Darline Graham vote percent
K 1.2K contractsWill Darline Graham receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Darline Graham receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?Yes 89.5%
Will Darline Graham receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?Yes 68%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC