Politics prediction markets
6,945 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 5,329-5,376 of 6,945 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Georgia Governor election: Rick Jackson vote percent (1st Round)
K 758.94 contractsWill Rick Jackson receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Rick Jackson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Rick Jackson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?
K 756.29 contractsWho will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election? (Brandon Dukes)Yes 52.5%
Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election? (Scott Timko)Yes 48.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Don Bacon resign his office before the midterms?
K 754 contractsWill Don Bacon resign his office early?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
K 748.61 contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?Yes 94%
Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?Yes 84%
Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?Yes 64.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Maryland Question 3 pass?
K 748.03 contractsWill Maryland Question 3 pass?Yes 70%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa State House winner?
K 747.79 contractsWho will win the Iowa State House? (Republican party)Yes 84.5%
Who will win the Iowa State House? (Democratic party)Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory
K 747.13 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 27.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 22%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 15%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)
K 741.23 contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in South Dakota?Yes 94%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Dakota?Yes 6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wyoming at large House General Election: voter turnout
K 740 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming at large House General Election be above 145000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming at large House General Election be above 160000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming at large House General Election be above 175000?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory
K 738.33 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 67.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 53.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 37%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tennessee Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 728.82 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Tennessee Governor General Election be above 1600000?Yes 91.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Tennessee Governor General Election be above 1730000?Yes 82.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Tennessee Governor General Election be above 1820000?Yes 73.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 727.7 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Montana Senate General Election be above 380000?Yes 91.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Montana Senate General Election be above 440000?Yes 71%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Montana Senate General Election be above 470000?Yes 59.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Susan Collins outperform the polls?
K 726.04 contractsWill Susan Collins outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
K 719.18 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 6.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 4.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 2.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa State Auditor winner?
K 716.18 contractsWho will win the 2026 Iowa State Auditor election? (Chris Cournoyer)Yes 69%
Who will win the 2026 Iowa State Auditor election? (Taylor Wettach)Yes 31.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas 01 House General Election: voter turnout
K 716 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Texas 01 House General Election be above 160000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 01 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 77.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 01 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 57.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia's 11th District margin of victory
K 715 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 11th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 11th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 72%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 11th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 58%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tennessee's 7th District margin of victory
K 714.16 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 7th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 73%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 7th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 59.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 5th District margin of victory
K 712 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 71.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 5th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 61%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-02 House election: Patrick Halpin vote percent
K 710.66 contractsWill Patrick Halpin receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-02 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Patrick Halpin receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-02 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Patrick Halpin receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-02 House election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Nov 15 AP Poll
K 708.5 contractsWill Miami (FL) be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 38.5%
Will Ohio St. be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 37.5%
Will Notre Dame be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 30.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NC-11 House election: Jamie Ager vote percent
K 707.68 contractsWill Jamie Ager receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-11 House election?Yes 97%
Will Jamie Ager receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-11 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Jamie Ager receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-11 House election?Yes 89.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Delaware Senate election: Chris Coons vote percent
K 706.18 contractsWill Chris Coons receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Delaware Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will Chris Coons receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Delaware Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Chris Coons receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Delaware Senate election?Yes 91.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

What will Elon Musk say during NYT DealBook Summit?
K 706 contractsWhat will Elon Musk say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Grok)Yes 75.5%
What will Elon Musk say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 75.5%
What will Elon Musk say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Tesla)Yes 70.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OH-15 House election: Don Leonard vote percent
K 705.88 contractsWill Don Leonard receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-15 House election?Yes 97%
Will Don Leonard receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-15 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Don Leonard receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-15 House election?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Dakota margin of victory
K 703.8 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Dakota House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 85%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Dakota House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 71%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Dakota House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California 26 House General Election: voter turnout
K 700 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 26 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 26 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 26 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 71.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California 50 House General Election: voter turnout
K 700 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 50 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 50 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 82.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 50 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 64.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania's 5th District margin of victory
K 699 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 95.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 93.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 87.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor
K 698.88 contractsWill Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92.5%
Will John Leguizamo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 76.5%
Will Andrew Garfield be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 72.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in North Carolina?
K 697.95 contractsWill Amendment 1 pass?Yes 83.5%
Will Amendment 3 pass?Yes 81.5%
Will Amendment 2 pass?Yes 80.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-14 House election: Clay Fuller vote percent (1st Round)
K 697.14 contractsWill Clay Fuller receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-14 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Clay Fuller receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-14 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Clay Fuller receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-14 House election?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MN-01 House election: Jake Johnson vote percent
K 695.42 contractsWill Jake Johnson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-01 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jake Johnson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-01 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jake Johnson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-01 House election?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/16-10/23)?
K 694.56 contractsAbove 8.1%Yes 52%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?
K 693.53 contractsWill above 30% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 89.5%
Will above 32% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 82%
Will above 34% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?
K 693.52 contractsWill Jared Polis be out as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Texas's 32nd District margin of victory
K 690.06 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 5.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 17th District margin of victory
K 688.93 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 17th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 93.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 17th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 17th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 75%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 685.62 contractsWill the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 86.5%
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 40% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NC-04 House winner?
K 685.34 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NC-04?Yes 97.5%
Will Republican win the House race for NC-04?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump visit Trump National Doral again in 2026?
K 683.5 contractsWill Donald Trump visit Trump National Doral before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 97%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-16 House winner?
K 683.09 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-16?Yes 97.3%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-16?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the Kennedy Center Board vote to demolish the Kennedy Center in 2026?
K 680.96 contractsWill a vote in 2026 by the Kennedy Center Board of Trustees approving demolition of the Kennedy Center's main building be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 19th District margin of victory
K 677.6 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 92.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 74%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 19th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 60%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio's 14th District margin of victory
K 675.53 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 14th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 93%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 14th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 14th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 72%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will OFAC end its Russian diesel import license?
K 674.79 contractsWill the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) announce its revocation of, or an amendment to, Russia-related General License 135 so that the license no longer authorizes the importation into the United States of diesel fuel of Russian Federation origin before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Carolina 01 House General Election: voter turnout
K 672.5 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 01 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 86%
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 01 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 83%
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 01 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act?
K 672 contractsWill final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms receive above 56 Yea votes in the Senate?Yes 75.5%
Will final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms receive above 60 Yea votes in the Senate?Yes 69%
Will final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms receive above 64 Yea votes in the Senate?Yes 63%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC