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Politics prediction markets

6,945 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 5,377-5,424 of 6,945 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
PA-09 House election: Rachel Wallace vote percent

PA-09 House election: Rachel Wallace vote percent

K 670 contracts
Will Rachel Wallace receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-09 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Rachel Wallace receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-09 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Rachel Wallace receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-09 House election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-06 House election: Jim Clyburn vote percent

SC-06 House election: Jim Clyburn vote percent

K 670 contracts
Will Jim Clyburn receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Jim Clyburn receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Jim Clyburn receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-19 House election: Tom Sell vote percent

TX-19 House election: Tom Sell vote percent

K 670 contracts
Will Tom Sell receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Tom Sell receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election?Yes 80.5%
Will Tom Sell receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election?Yes 66.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 15th District margin of victory

Ohio's 15th District margin of victory

K 668.72 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 64%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 48%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 31%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 16th District margin of victory

Texas's 16th District margin of victory

K 668 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 81%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina's 4th District margin of victory

South Carolina's 4th District margin of victory

K 667.74 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 89.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?

When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?

K 665.05 contracts
Will Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 40.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
California's 37th District margin of victory

California's 37th District margin of victory

K 664 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 94.2%
Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee's 9th District margin of victory

Tennessee's 9th District margin of victory

K 664 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 9th District House election be at least 61 percentage points?Yes 2.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 9th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?Yes 2.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 9th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?Yes 2.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota Senate election: Brian Bengs vote percent

South Dakota Senate election: Brian Bengs vote percent

K 662.6 contracts
Will Brian Bengs receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will Brian Bengs receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Brian Bengs receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota Senate election?Yes 92.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-05 House election: Tom Perriello vote percent

VA-05 House election: Tom Perriello vote percent

K 662 contracts
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?Yes 85.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-01 House winner?

OR-01 House winner?

K 658.81 contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for OR-01?Yes 98%
Will Republican win the House race for OR-01?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-16 House winner?

NY-16 House winner?

K 657.2 contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-16?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-16?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout

Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout

K 655.91 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky Senate General Election be above 1270000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky Senate General Election be above 1340000?Yes 89.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky Senate General Election be above 1410000?Yes 80.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?

When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?

K 653.94 contracts
Will the UK agree to or announce a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2028?Yes 37%
Will the UK agree to or announce a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Will the UK agree to or announce a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 11%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 11th District margin of victory

Pennsylvania's 11th District margin of victory

K 652.34 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 89%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio 07 House General Election: voter turnout

Ohio 07 House General Election: voter turnout

K 651.52 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 07 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 07 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 07 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 85.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 15th District margin of victory

Pennsylvania's 15th District margin of victory

K 650 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 87.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 76%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 63%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted debate?

Will Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted debate?

K 648 contracts
Will Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted debate each other before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor margin of victory

Alaska Governor margin of victory

K 647 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Alaska be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 70%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Alaska be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 56%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Alaska be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 41%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MT-01 House election: Sam Forstag vote percent

MT-01 House election: Sam Forstag vote percent

K 641.11 contracts
Will Sam Forstag receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-01 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Sam Forstag receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-01 House election?Yes 95%
Will Sam Forstag receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-01 House election?Yes 86%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 20th District margin of victory

Florida's 20th District margin of victory

K 641 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 20th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 20th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 20th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?Yes 93%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas 10 House General Election: voter turnout

Texas 10 House General Election: voter turnout

K 637.86 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 10 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 10 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 75.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 10 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 66.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 32nd District margin of victory

Texas's 32nd District margin of victory

K 637.54 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 76%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 61.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 48%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map?

Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map?

K 636.33 contracts
Will Missouri Proposition A pass?Yes 41%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AR-04 House election: Bruce Westerman vote percent

AR-04 House election: Bruce Westerman vote percent

K 635 contracts
Will Bruce Westerman receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Bruce Westerman receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?Yes 84%
Will Bruce Westerman receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?

Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?

K 632.87 contracts
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of St. Mary Catholic Parish in Littleton in St. Mary Catholic Parish v. RoyYes 77.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
West Virginia 01 House General Election: voter turnout

West Virginia 01 House General Election: voter turnout

K 631.23 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in West Virginia 01 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in West Virginia 01 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in West Virginia 01 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 67.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?

Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?

K 627.07 contracts
Will Narendra Modi announce their departure as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 36%
Will Narendra Modi announce their departure as Prime Minister of India before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 12%
Will Narendra Modi announce their departure as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-01 House election: Shannon Taylor vote percent

VA-01 House election: Shannon Taylor vote percent

K 625 contracts
Will Shannon Taylor receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-01 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Shannon Taylor receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-01 House election?Yes 96%
Will Shannon Taylor receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-01 House election?Yes 86.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-16 House election: Joseph Cinquemani vote percent

NY-16 House election: Joseph Cinquemani vote percent

K 625 contracts
Will Joseph Cinquemani receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-16 House election?Yes 98%
Will Joseph Cinquemani receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-16 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Joseph Cinquemani receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-16 House election?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

K 623.13 contracts
Will Anthony Albanese become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?Yes 38%
Will Angus Taylor become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?Yes 18.5%
Will Pauline Hanson become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?Yes 16%
+4 moreNext deadline Sep 23, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-03 House election: Brian Jack vote percent (1st Round)

GA-03 House election: Brian Jack vote percent (1st Round)

K 621 contracts
Will Brian Jack receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-03 House election?Yes 78%
Will Brian Jack receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-03 House election?Yes 61.5%
Will Brian Jack receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-03 House election?Yes 41%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?

FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?

K 620.57 contracts
FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?Yes 55.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent

IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent

K 618.37 contracts
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Yes 97%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Yes 97%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Drain the Swamp Act become law?

Will the Drain the Swamp Act become law?

K 616.75 contracts
Will "Drain the Swamp" Act becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?Yes 3.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Washington's 5th District margin of victory

Washington's 5th District margin of victory

K 615.22 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 16%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida 28 House General Election: voter turnout

Florida 28 House General Election: voter turnout

K 615 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 28 House General Election be above 197000?Yes 88.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 28 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 79.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 28 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 71.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-01 House election: Damon Galdo vote percent

NJ-01 House election: Damon Galdo vote percent

K 615 contracts
Will Damon Galdo receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-01 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Damon Galdo receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-01 House election?Yes 79.5%
Will Damon Galdo receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-01 House election?Yes 62.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Delaware at large House General Election: voter turnout

Delaware at large House General Election: voter turnout

K 614 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware at large House General Election be above 250000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware at large House General Election be above 290000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware at large House General Election be above 320000?Yes 74.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-11 House election: Ethan Baker vote percent

MI-11 House election: Ethan Baker vote percent

K 612.24 contracts
Will Ethan Baker receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-11 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Ethan Baker receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-11 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Ethan Baker receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-11 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WA-07 House winner?

WA-07 House winner?

K 612.22 contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for WA-07?Yes 98.1%
Will Republican win the House race for WA-07?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football Week 6: Most Passing Yards

Pro Football Week 6: Most Passing Yards

K 612.16 contracts
Kirk Cousins: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 6Yes 51.5%
Cam Ward: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 6Yes 47.5%
Jalon Daniels: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 6Yes 47.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida 27 House General Election: voter turnout

Florida 27 House General Election: voter turnout

K 610.47 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 27 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 90.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 27 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 27 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 79.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey 11 House General Election: voter turnout

New Jersey 11 House General Election: voter turnout

K 609.64 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 11 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 11 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 78.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 11 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 59.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 9th District margin of victory

Texas's 9th District margin of victory

K 608.43 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 18.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 8.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will John Thune run for reelection?

Will John Thune run for reelection?

K 608.19 contracts
Will John Thune announce a run for U.S. Senate in 2028?Yes 72.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 28, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round)

Alaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round)

K 607 contracts
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 91.5%
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 63%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC