Politics prediction markets
6,945 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 5,521-5,568 of 6,945 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Virginia 08 House General Election: voter turnout
K 467.76 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 08 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 08 House General Election be above 225000?Yes 74.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 08 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 51.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maine State House winner?
K 463.73 contractsWho will win the Maine State House? (Democratic party)Yes 87.5%
Who will win the Maine State House? (Republican party)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-06 House election: April McClain Delaney vote percent
K 463.37 contractsWill April McClain Delaney receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will April McClain Delaney receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 95%
Will April McClain Delaney receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 87.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-07 House winner?
K 463 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MD-07?Yes 98.1%
Will Republican win the House race for MD-07?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey's 1st District margin of victory
K 462 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 1st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 96.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 95.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 1st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 93.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tennessee's 3rd District margin of victory
K 461.04 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 7th District margin of victory
K 460 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 7th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 93.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 7th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 87%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 7th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations?
K 458.9 contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Leonard W. Hoffmann et al. in Hoffmann v. WBI Energy Transmission, Inc.Yes 50.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-31 House winner?
K 457.7 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-31?Yes 97.4%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-31?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 455.42 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 560000?Yes 94%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 650000?Yes 72%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Senate General Election be above 720000?Yes 45%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

California's 4th District margin of victory
K 455 contractsWill the margin of victory for Mike Thompson in CA-04 be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Mike Thompson in CA-04 be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 63%
Will the margin of victory for Mike Thompson in CA-04 be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 43.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-07 House winner?
K 452.83 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NY-07?Yes 98.2%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-07?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Missouri 01 House General Election: voter turnout
K 452.53 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Missouri 01 House General Election be above 140000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Missouri 01 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Missouri 01 House General Election be above 185000?Yes 72.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OR-05 House election: Janelle Bynum vote percent
K 451 contractsWill Janelle Bynum receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 96%
Will Janelle Bynum receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Janelle Bynum receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?
K 450.55 contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Francis Nielsen in Nielsen v. WatanabeYes 74.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech

ACC: Rushing Yards Leader
K 450.39 contractsNate Sheppard records the most rushing yards in the ACCYes 46%
Isaac Brown records the most rushing yards in the ACCYes 33%
Kendrick Raphael records the most rushing yards in the ACCYes 30%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Median Big Law starting salary in 2027
K 450 contractsWill the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in 2027 be above $215,000?Yes 97%
Will the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in 2027 be above $220,000?Yes 96.5%
Will the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in 2027 be above $225,000?Yes 95.5%
+4 moreNext deadline May 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

California's 14th District margin of victory
K 450 contractsWill the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 89.8%
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

California's 29th District margin of victory
K 450 contractsWill the margin of victory for Luz Rivas in CA-29 be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 93%
Will the margin of victory for Luz Rivas in CA-29 be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Luz Rivas in CA-29 be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 51.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York's 26th District margin of victory
K 450 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 95.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 91.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 14th District margin of victory
K 450 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 14th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 14th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 95.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 14th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 92.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?
K 450 contractsWill the cover-page value New York City reports as “Average daily overnight census in all city-administered facilities for the reporting month” be above 86000 for December 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will the cover-page value New York City reports as “Average daily overnight census in all city-administered facilities for the reporting month” be above 88000 for December 2026?Yes 84%
Will the cover-page value New York City reports as “Average daily overnight census in all city-administered facilities for the reporting month” be above 90000 for December 2026?Yes 75.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment?
K 449.77 contractsWill SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports

Missouri St. vs Delaware: Spread
K 448.12 contractsDelaware wins by over 1.5 pointsYes 56%
Delaware wins by over 2.5 pointsYes 54.5%
Delaware wins by over 3.5 pointsYes 46.5%
+26 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 42nd District margin of victory
K 444 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 96%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 94.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 42nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame Inductees
K 442.41 contractsWill Elton Brand be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class?Yes 50.5%
Will Detlef Schrempf be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class?Yes 50.5%
Will Terry Stotts be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class?Yes 50%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will League City vote to keep its Flock cameras?
K 440.77 contractsWill the League City proposition to continue using Flock cameras pass?Yes 62%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Michigan 13 House General Election: voter turnout
K 439.19 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 13 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 13 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan 13 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 82.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Dakota Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 438.2 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in South Dakota Governor General Election be above 280000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in South Dakota Governor General Election be above 320000?Yes 83.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in South Dakota Governor General Election be above 350000?Yes 62.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oklahoma 05 House General Election: voter turnout
K 436.6 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 05 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 87.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-23 House election: Deborah Adeimy vote percent
K 435 contractsWill Deborah Adeimy receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-23 House election?Yes 96%
Will Deborah Adeimy receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-23 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Deborah Adeimy receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-23 House election?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Dave ExtraCash origination volume in Q3
K 434.02 contractsWill Dave Inc. report Above $2.3 billion extracash origination volume in Q3 2026?Yes 90%
Will Dave Inc. report Above $2.4 billion extracash origination volume in Q3 2026?Yes 76%
Will Dave Inc. report Above $2.5 billion extracash origination volume in Q3 2026?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-05 House election: John Rutherford vote percent
K 433.53 contractsWill John Rutherford receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-05 House election?Yes 92%
Will John Rutherford receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-05 House election?Yes 80.5%
Will John Rutherford receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-05 House election?Yes 63.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
K 431.46 contractsWill the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 175000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?Yes 25%
Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 180000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Midterms: which party wins white college-educated men?
K 431.1 contractsWill Democrats win white college-educated men in the exit poll?Yes 90%
Will Republicans win white college-educated men in the exit poll?Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

California's 11th District margin of victory
K 430.83 contractsWill the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 8.9%
Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 4.4%
Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 2.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida 25 House General Election: voter turnout
K 429.9 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Florida 25 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 89.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 25 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 84.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 25 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 78.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oregon 06 House General Election: voter turnout
K 429.75 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Oregon 06 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oregon 06 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 80.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oregon 06 House General Election be above 300000?Yes 55.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?
K 427.7 contractsWill the actual full-time headcount reported by the New York City Mayor’s Office of Management and Budget for the New York City Police Department in the “Uniform” employee category be above 34250 as of December 31, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will the actual full-time headcount reported by the New York City Mayor’s Office of Management and Budget for the New York City Police Department in the “Uniform” employee category be above 34500 as of December 31, 2026?Yes 85%
Will the actual full-time headcount reported by the New York City Mayor’s Office of Management and Budget for the New York City Police Department in the “Uniform” employee category be above 34750 as of December 31, 2026?Yes 66%
+4 moreNext deadline Aug 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-08 House winner?
K 426.16 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MD-08?Yes 96.5%
Will Republican win the House race for MD-08?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Final AP Poll
K 426.1 contractsWill Miami (FL) be the #1 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 34%
Will Ohio St. be the #1 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 32%
Will Notre Dame be the #1 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 31.5%
+72 moreNext deadline Feb 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton debate?
K 425.66 contractsWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton debate each other before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts Senate election: John Deaton vote percent
K 423 contractsWill John Deaton receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will John Deaton receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will John Deaton receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election?Yes 84.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TN-09 House election: Justin Pearson vote percent
K 422.22 contractsWill Justin Pearson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-09 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Justin Pearson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-09 House election?Yes 97%
Will Justin Pearson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-09 House election?Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS count subscribers to a video provider’s non-video offerings as VPPA consumers?
K 422.12 contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Michael Salazar in Salazar v. Paramount GlobalYes 65.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will DHS submit a final OPT fee rule to OIRA this year?
K 420.92 contractsWill DHS submit a final OPT fee rule to OIRA this year?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-04 House election: Aaron Bean vote percent
K 420 contractsWill Aaron Bean receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-04 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Aaron Bean receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-04 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Aaron Bean receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-04 House election?Yes 70.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NC-08 House election: Colby Watson vote percent
K 420 contractsWill Colby Watson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-08 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Colby Watson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-08 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Colby Watson receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-08 House election?Yes 37.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC