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Politics prediction markets

6,953 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 5,665-5,712 of 6,953 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
South Dakota Secretary of State winner?

South Dakota Secretary of State winner?

K 344.76 contracts
Will Heather Baxter win the 2026 South Dakota Secretary of State election?Yes 83%
Will Terrence Davis win the 2026 South Dakota Secretary of State election?Yes 10.5%
Will Tamara J. Lesnar win the 2026 South Dakota Secretary of State election?Yes 5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas 36 House General Election: voter turnout

Texas 36 House General Election: voter turnout

K 344 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 36 House General Election be above 155000?Yes 98%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 36 House General Election be above 163000?Yes 97.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 36 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 97%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky 06 House General Election: voter turnout

Kentucky 06 House General Election: voter turnout

K 343.23 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 06 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 06 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 06 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 89.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 8th District margin of victory

Georgia's 8th District margin of victory

K 343 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 8th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 90%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 8th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 8th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 67.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois Senate winner? (2028)

Illinois Senate winner? (2028)

K 342.22 contracts
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Illinois?Yes 94.5%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Illinois?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota 04 House General Election: voter turnout

Minnesota 04 House General Election: voter turnout

K 340 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota 04 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 88.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota 04 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 76.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota 04 House General Election be above 290000?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia 05 House General Election: voter turnout

Virginia 05 House General Election: voter turnout

K 340 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 05 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 05 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 74.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 05 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 61%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 6 AP Poll

College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 6 AP Poll

K 338.32 contracts
Will Duke be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 rankings?Yes 26%
Will Michigan be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 rankings?Yes 4%
Will Arkansas be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 rankings?Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota?

Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota?

K 338.18 contracts
Will the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announce a definitive decision to lift, in whole or in part, either federal Medicaid payment deferral announced for California or Minnesota on July 21, 2026, or otherwise make any amount covered by either deferral available to the applicable state before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

K 337.83 contracts
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Economy / Economic)Yes 69%
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 66%
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 62.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 8th District margin of victory

Colorado's 8th District margin of victory

K 337.5 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 12.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 8th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 5.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 8th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 3.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 4 AP Poll

College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 4 AP Poll

K 331.18 contracts
Will Duke be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 4 rankings?Yes 24.5%
Will Arkansas be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 4 rankings?Yes 5.5%
Will Michigan be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 4 rankings?Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Washington 09 House General Election: voter turnout

Washington 09 House General Election: voter turnout

K 331 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Washington 09 House General Election be above 150000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Washington 09 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Washington 09 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 81.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
RB Fantasy Football Week 6 Leader?

RB Fantasy Football Week 6 Leader?

K 327.95 contracts
Kenneth Walker III: Leader RB in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 86.5%
J.K. Dobbins: Leader RB in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 47.5%
Woody Marks: Leader RB in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 47.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Senate General Election: voter turnout

Rhode Island Senate General Election: voter turnout

K 327.22 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Senate General Election be above 280000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Senate General Election be above 310000?Yes 91.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Senate General Election be above 340000?Yes 76.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama 02 House General Election: voter turnout

Alabama 02 House General Election: voter turnout

K 327 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 02 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 02 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 78.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 02 House General Election be above 197000?Yes 70.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska 01 House General Election: voter turnout

Nebraska 01 House General Election: voter turnout

K 324.03 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 01 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 90.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska Senate election: Pete Ricketts vote percent

Nebraska Senate election: Pete Ricketts vote percent

K 323.91 contracts
Will Pete Ricketts receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will Pete Ricketts receive at least 43% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Pete Ricketts receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska Senate election?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will JPMorgan say during their next earnings call?

What will JPMorgan say during their next earnings call?

K 321.19 contracts
What will JPMorgan Chase & Co. say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)Yes 88.5%
What will JPMorgan Chase & Co. say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)Yes 88.5%
What will JPMorgan Chase & Co. say during their next earnings call? (Hike / Hiked)Yes 74%
+15 moreNext deadline Apr 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland 01 House General Election: voter turnout

Maryland 01 House General Election: voter turnout

K 320.72 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 01 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 01 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 88.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 01 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida 07 House General Election: voter turnout

Florida 07 House General Election: voter turnout

K 319.46 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 07 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 91.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 07 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 07 House General Election be above 290000?Yes 80.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wyoming Governor General Election: voter turnout

Wyoming Governor General Election: voter turnout

K 319.46 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming Governor General Election be above 158000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming Governor General Election be above 164000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming Governor General Election be above 170000?Yes 82.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

K 316.1 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?

Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?

K 315.73 contracts
Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032?Yes 50%
Will the Democratic party win the Presidency in 2032?Yes 49%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 2, 2033 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Football: Top 10 Ranked Teams on Nov 8 AP Poll

College Football: Top 10 Ranked Teams on Nov 8 AP Poll

K 314.41 contracts
Will Georgia be a top 10 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 58.5%
Will Notre Dame be a top 10 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 58.5%
Will West Virginia be a top 10 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 49%
+72 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 2nd District margin of victory

Ohio's 2nd District margin of victory

K 314.23 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 2nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 2nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 2nd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-04 House election: Monique DeSpain vote percent

OR-04 House election: Monique DeSpain vote percent

K 314.14 contracts
Will Monique DeSpain receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-04 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Monique DeSpain receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-04 House election?Yes 81.5%
Will Monique DeSpain receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-04 House election?Yes 68.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the carried interest loophole be closed?

Will the carried interest loophole be closed?

K 312.3 contracts
Will legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) become law before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 51%
Will legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) become law before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 26%
Will legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) become law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 18%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado Senate winner? (2028)

Colorado Senate winner? (2028)

K 311.49 contracts
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Colorado?Yes 91.5%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Colorado?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: which party wins white suburban women?

Midterms: which party wins white suburban women?

K 309.02 contracts
Will Democrats win white suburban women in the exit poll?Yes 91%
Will Republicans win white suburban women in the exit poll?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory

Alabama's 4th District margin of victory

K 305.96 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?Yes 96.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?Yes 96%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory

Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory

K 305 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 94.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WY-AL House election: Chuck Gray vote percent

WY-AL House election: Chuck Gray vote percent

K 303.84 contracts
Will Chuck Gray receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 WY-AL House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Chuck Gray receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 WY-AL House election?Yes 77.5%
Will Chuck Gray receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 WY-AL House election?Yes 57.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California's 1st District margin of victory

California's 1st District margin of victory

K 300 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 92%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama 03 House General Election: voter turnout

Alabama 03 House General Election: voter turnout

K 300 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 03 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 91.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 03 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 84.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 03 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas 02 House General Election: voter turnout

Arkansas 02 House General Election: voter turnout

K 300 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas 02 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas 02 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 83.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas 02 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 70.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona 09 House General Election: voter turnout

Arizona 09 House General Election: voter turnout

K 300 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arizona 09 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arizona 09 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 91.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arizona 09 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 85.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky 01 House General Election: voter turnout

Kentucky 01 House General Election: voter turnout

K 300 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 01 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 01 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 88.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 01 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 80.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts 01 House General Election: voter turnout

Massachusetts 01 House General Election: voter turnout

K 300 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 01 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 01 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 01 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 67.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York 04 House General Election: voter turnout

New York 04 House General Election: voter turnout

K 300 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in New York 04 House General Election be above 160000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New York 04 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 85%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New York 04 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
ME-02 House election: Paul LePage vote percent (1st Round)

ME-02 House election: Paul LePage vote percent (1st Round)

K 300 contracts
Will Paul LePage receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-02 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Paul LePage receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-02 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Paul LePage receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-02 House election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 18th District margin of victory

New York's 18th District margin of victory

K 299 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 88.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 78.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 18th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
West Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory

West Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory

K 297 contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 92%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AR-03 House election: Steve Womack vote percent

AR-03 House election: Steve Womack vote percent

K 296 contracts
Will Steve Womack receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Steve Womack receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-03 House election?Yes 93%
Will Steve Womack receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-03 House election?Yes 37%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?

Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?

K 295.6 contracts
Will it be confirmed that U.S. Senator is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029?Yes 51.5%
Will it be confirmed that Governor is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029?Yes 26%
Will it be confirmed that Vice President is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029?Yes 25.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California 10 House General Election: voter turnout

California 10 House General Election: voter turnout

K 290 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 10 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 10 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 82.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 10 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 75.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama Senate election: Barry Moore vote percent

Alabama Senate election: Barry Moore vote percent

K 286.03 contracts
Will Barry Moore receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama Senate election?Yes 92%
Will Barry Moore receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama Senate election?Yes 79%
Will Barry Moore receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama Senate election?Yes 61%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas 02 House General Election: voter turnout

Kansas 02 House General Election: voter turnout

K 283.93 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kansas 02 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kansas 02 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kansas 02 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 93.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC